Air travel demand to plummet 15% in early May 2026
Air travel demand is set to fall sharply in early May 2026, according to a new forecast. Albina Dyshikova, an economics lecturer at the Institute of International Economic Relations, predicts a 15% drop compared to the same period in 2025. The decline is largely tied to an unfavourable holiday schedule next year. Dyshikova attributes the expected slump to fewer people travelling during the May 1–11 window. Airlines have already responded by lowering ticket prices, as passenger numbers drop and fuel expenses climb.
With demand weakening, many travellers are switching to shorter domestic trips or cheaper destinations. Booking early could still save money, as last-minute fares might jump by 25–50% closer to departure. The forecast highlights how holiday timing can directly impact travel plans. Airlines are adjusting prices to fill seats, but costs remain volatile due to fuel fluctuations.
The predicted 15% decline in airfare demand reflects both scheduling quirks and economic pressures. Travellers looking to avoid higher prices are being urged to secure tickets well ahead of time. The shift towards budget-friendly options may continue if fuel costs stay high.
