Who Took the Vice Presidential Debate Victory Crown? Snap Polls and Betting Markets Spill the Beans
Which Contender Prevailed in Last Night's Vice Presidential Debate? Insights From Snap Surveys and Wagering Odds.
On Tuesday night, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz squared off against Ohio Senator J.D. Vance in a chill, policy-packed vice president debate. Some referred to it as having a "Midwestern friendly" vibe, but bookies and pollsters leaned towards the Republican hopeful, Vance, emerging victorious over Walz.
Quick Takeaways:
- A speedy poll by debate host CBS News showed that 42% of viewers thought Vance triumphed while 41% favored Walz, with 17% considering it a tie.
- After the debate, both candidates witnessed a surge in popularity. Vance's appeal rose from 40% to 49%, and Walz's escalated from 52% to 60%.
- CNN's poll revealed Vance edged out Walz with 51% to 49% support. In this poll, both candidates' stature improved. Walz's favorability soared from 46% to 59%, and Vance's climbed from 30% to 41%.
Market Moves:
Betting platforms deemed Vance the debate champ. On Polymarket, a cryptocurrency-based betting platform, backers predicted Vance would be crowned the debate victor in post-debate polls with a whopping 73%, while Walz had 27% backing pre-debate. Prior to the debate, punters favored Walz with a 70% probability.
Side Note:
Trump's odds of winning slightly went up on Election Day due to promising polls in Georgia and North Carolina before the debate. Nevertheless, Vice President Kamala Harris continues to lead, with bookies assigning her a 50.3% chance of succeeding in November, while Trump received 48.9%.
Originally Published: October 2, 2024
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In the post-debate analysis, betting platforms and polls consistently favored Ohio Senator J.D. Vance over Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, suggesting Vance as the potential victor of the vice presidential debate. The CBS News poll, CNN's poll, and Polymarket's betting platform all indicated that Vance was more likely to be crowned the debate champion.
