West and Turkey resumed discussions
In the ever-evolving landscape of international politics, Turkey stands as an influential actor in Africa, the Middle East, Central Asia, and the Balkans. Its geographical position, though posing major challenges, also provides it with a unique strategic importance that is often underrecognized in Western policy discussions.
Turkey's influence extends beyond its borders, thanks in part to its 5 million-strong diaspora in Europe and an extensive embassy network, particularly in Africa. This global presence is further bolstered by initiatives like Turkish language schools, which help to spread Turkey's cultural influence far and wide.
One of the most powerful tools in Turkey's diplomatic arsenal is TRT International, its international broadcaster, and high-profile events such as the Antalya Diplomacy Forum. These platforms allow Turkey to engage with world leaders and shape the global conversation on a variety of issues.
Turkey's economic clout is equally significant. As a G20 member with a population of 85 million and a relatively young demographic, it plays a critical role in the trade of indispensable goods. Its economy is deeply intertwined with the EU, fostering mutual dependency. This economic interdependence creates a two-way economic and security dynamic, meaning that both parties stand to gain or lose based on their relations.
The relationship between Turkey and the EU, in particular, involves mutual leverage and interdependence. Despite criticisms regarding Turkey's democratic practices and the actions of President Erdogan, the EU might seek to accommodate Turkey, recognising the benefits of maintaining a strong relationship. Brussels could fulfill its previous commitments by resuming regular high-level meetings with Ankara.
The U.S. and Europe can also significantly influence Turkey's economy and, to some extent, its defense capabilities. However, Turkey's relationship with these powers is not one-sided. Turkey has the ability to leverage its strategic position and economic might to negotiate favourable terms.
The future of Turkey's political landscape remains uncertain, but the likelihood of President Erdogan and the AK party maintaining their political grip on the country increases. This stability, coupled with Turkey's growing influence, makes it a relevant global player that cannot be ignored.
However, Turkey's influence is not without its risks. If fighting and tensions in countries such as Ukraine, Israel, Iran, or among major powers spiral out of control, Turkey might find itself in an escalating political conflict. The resolution of conflicts in regions like Ukraine, Palestine, and the wider Middle East could enhance Turkey's foreign policy influence, but it could also bring about new challenges.
In conclusion, Turkey's strategic importance and global influence are undeniable. As it continues to navigate the complexities of international politics, it will undoubtedly play a crucial role in shaping the future of the world. A well-executed modernization of the EU-Turkey Customs Union could benefit both parties, fostering a stronger relationship and a more stable and prosperous future for all.
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