Warriors and Rockets Faced with Game 7 Showdown in Houston After VanVleet's Rockets' Triumph
Rewritten Article:
The Houston Rockets evened the series at 3-3, securing a hard-fought 115-107 win over the Golden State Warriors in Game 6. The Rockets asserted their dominance with a 17-point lead at one point in the game.
In an impressive performance, Fred VanVleet shone for the Rockets, scoring 29 points, grabbing 8 rebounds, and dishing out 8 assists. Alperen Sengun was a force, contributing 21 points and 14 rebounds to the team's victory. Houston outscored Golden State 29-23 in the final quarter.
VanVleet showed his mettle with a 7-for-13 shooting performance, building on his recent form. He was flawless from the free-throw line, converting all nine attempts – an impressive 22 of 22 over the series.
With the series headed to Houston for Game 7 on Sunday night, the Warriors will need to regroup quickly. Stephen Curry and Draymond Green have an impressive history in Game 7s, with a 3-2 record. Their last outing in a Game 7 was in 2023, when Golden State triumphed 120-100 against the Sacramento Kings. Curry scored 50 points in that game.
Curry has averaged an impressive 32.6 points in Game 7s throughout his career, ranking fourth among all NBA players. He trails only Kevin Durant, LeBron James, and Michael Jordan.
Despite starting the series with a 3-1 lead after Game 4, the Warriors struggled to deal with Houston's zone defense in the last two games, both played at home and away.
Game 7 is set to take place in Houston, and the Rockets will be back in their city threads.
Warriors star Jimmy Butler, who has played in four Game 7s with a 2-2 record, expressed his confidence: "We're good. We're smiling. And we're listening to our music, celebrating life. We're ready to compete. We were ready to compete tonight. Things didn't go our way. OK, we're going to be ready to compete on Sunday. We're going to make the game go our way."
Coach Steve Kerr, who boasts a 3-1 record in Game 7s as a head coach, echoed Butler's sentiments.
Houston's Aaron Holiday, Fred VanVleet, Jeff Green, and Steven Adams have a combined 10 Game 7 experiences. Rockets coach Ime Udoka also improved his record to 5-1 when facing elimination.
"It was a mantra going into the series: Play through everything," Udoka said ahead of Game 7. "It's going to be a physical game. Don't ask for anything. We want to be physical. So if the refs allow it or that's how the style of game is played, that favors us more often than not."
This will be Houston's first Game 7 since 2020 and their first true home seventh game since 2018. The Rockets emerged victorious in the 2020 first-round series against the Oklahoma City Thunder, but that elimination game was played in the Orlando bubble during the COVID-19 pandemic.
The Rockets will need to dig deep to overcome the experienced Warriors on Sunday. While the Warriors won 95-85 in Houston during Game 1, NBA betting sites currently favor the Rockets, listing them as 3-point favorites.
Trends and Predictions
- Spread: Rockets -2.5 (odds: -112) / Warriors +2.5 (-108) [[3][5]]
- Moneyline: Rockets -142 / Warriors +120 [[3]], with other books listing Rockets -130 (56.52% implied probability) and Warriors +110 (47.62%) [[5]]
- Total: 201–203.5 points (most books near 203.5) [[3][5]]
Key Trends & Predictions:1. Steph Curry's Impact:Analysts predict Curry to outperform his scoring prop (unspecified exact line) due to his historical success in Game 7s.2. Rockets’ Size Advantage: Houston's double-big lineup (Sengun + Adams) has disrupted Golden State, contributing to their fourth-quarter dominance in Game 6.3. Recent Momentum: Houston's victories in Games 5–6 have reversed Golden State's 3-1 series advantage.4. Home Edge: The game taking place at Toyota Center, where Houston forced the decisive Game 7.
Prop Watch- Fred VanVleet: Expected to play a pivotal role, his points line and performance under pressure are noteworthy.- Alperen Sengun/Steven Adams: Props for Houston's big men (points + rebounds) are recommended due to their impact in the interior.
Model Insights- SportsLine Model: The model, profitable (156-116 on NBA picks since last season), offers valuabledata-driven leans for the game, although specifics aren't provided for Game 7.- Implied Probability: Books slightly favor Houston (-130 ML ≈ 56.5% win likelihood) [[5]].
Takeaway: Back the Rockets to cover -2.5 if their size dominates the game, but Curry's scoring prowess keeps Golden State's moneyline (+120) enticing. The total (203.5) is influenced by the pace of the game, with the Warriors' small-ball approach against the Rockets' interior focus playing a deciding factor.
- In Game 7, the Houston Rockets will leverage their home advantage, wearing their city threads at the Toyota Center.
- Fred VanVleet notched an impressive 7-for-13 shooting performance in the series, while his free-throw accuracy of 22-22 has been remarkable.
- With a history of 3-1 in Game 7s, Steve Kerr and Stephen Curry, who trail only Kevin Durant, LeBron James, and Michael Jordan in Game 7 scoring averages, prepare for another intense encounter.
- As the series heads to Houston, the Rockets can leverage their double-big lineup of Alperen Sengun and Steven Adams, who have played a significant role in the last two games.
- Jimmy Butler, with a 2-2 record in four Game 7s, maintains confidence in the Warriors, while coach Ime Udoka looks to improve his 5-1 record when facing elimination.
- In the upcoming Game 7, the Rockets aim to overcome the Warriors, a win that would be reminiscent of their 2020 victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder, albeit in the Orlandobubble during the COVID-19 pandemic.
