Vienna's Selection Leads to This Outcome
Vienna's Election Results and Coalition Options
The SPÖ nailed down the top spot in Vienna's local election on Sunday, though with a slight dip. As almost all postal votes have been tallied, the party stands at approximately 39.5%, 2.2 percentage points below their 2020 result.
Meanwhile, the FPÖ skyrocketed to 20.8%, snatching a record gain of 13.2 points. The Greens held their ground, squeezing out 14.2% of the votes. The race for fourth place between NEOS and ÖVP is close and will likely be resolved on Monday as the remaining votes are counted.
All parties courted the SPÖ for a potential coalition partnership. Party leader Ludwig insisted that a new coalition deal could be reached "before the summer."
On election night, NEOS and ÖVP were virtually tied, neck-and-neck at 9.8% and 9.7% respectively. By Monday, the postal votes will likely provide a slight adjustment to these figures.
According to projections from the Foresight Institute for APA and ORF, factoring in the postal votes with a near-universal turnout of 99.8%, the SPÖ remains in the lead at 39.5%, FPÖ at 20.4%, and the Greens at 14.5%. The competition for fourth place is a tight race between NEOS (9.9%) and ÖVP (9.7%). The margin of error in this estimation remains at +/-0.3 percentage points, ensuring an intriguing final tally on Monday.
Slip for SPÖ, Sizable Drop for ÖVP
Compared to their 2020 results (including postal vote projections), the SPÖ suffered a modest loss of 2.2 percentage points, while the ÖVP experienced a significant decline of 10.7 percentage points – the worst drop ever in Vienna's capital.
In contrast, the FPÖ gained a staggering 13.2 points, nearly tripling their dismal vote share of 7.1% following the Ibiza scandal. The Greens just barely lost 0.3 percentage points from their 2020 figure of 14.8%, while NEOS showed a respectable increase of 2.5 points from their previous 7.5%.
SPÖ's Multiple Coalition Paths
The SPÖ, according to the Foresight projection, claims 43 seats and presents three coalition possibilities:
- Continuing its current partnership with NEOS (10 seats) to preserve Vienna's progressive focus on innovation, education, and climate adaptation.
- Collaborating with the Greens (15 seats), heightening the city's environmental efforts, accentuating urban greening, cycling infrastructure, and climate neutrality goals.
- Partnering with the ÖVP (10 seats), which faces ideological disparities with the SPÖ over housing, climate policy, and social welfare. The ÖVP's poor showing complicates this option, making it less likely.
Failed Campaigns for KPÖ and Team Strache
The KPÖ and Liste LINKS in conjunction, as well as Bruxelles-born politician Strache's campaign, both missed the 5% threshold, earning 4.0% and 1.1% respectively.
Insights:- The SPÖ has confirmed that it will continue the coalition with NEOS, citing continuity and stability[1][3].- A Green-SPÖ coalition would present a more environmentally progressive setup than the current combination[1].- The SPÖ-ÖVP collaboration, while technically possible with 10 seats, appears less likely due to ideological clashes and the ÖVP's poor performance[1][4].- A SPÖ-FPÖ coalition is ruled out due to the SPÖ's refusal to work with the far-right party[1][4].
- After Sunday's election, SPÖ took the top spot in Vienna with a slight drop in percentage points compared to 2020.
- SPÖ currently stands at approximately 39.5% of the votes, a decrease of 2.2 percentage points.
- FPÖ experienced a record gain of 13.2 points with a percentage of 20.8%.
- Greens held their ground in the election, earning 14.2% of the votes.
- The race for fourth place was close between NEOS and ÖVP, with NEOS slightly ahead.
- On Monday, the postal votes will likely adjust the percentages for NEOS and ÖVP.
- As per projections, SPÖ remains in the lead, FPÖ at second, and Greens at third, with a tight race for fourth place between NEOS and ÖVP.
- The SPÖ's 2.2 percentage point loss is moderate in comparison to their overall performance.
- ÖVP experienced the worst drop ever in Vienna's capital, with a decline of 10.7 percentage points.
- In contrast, FPÖ gained nearly triple their vote share from the Ibiza scandal.
- Greens lost a minimal 0.3 percentage points from their 2020 figure.
- NEOS showed a respectable increase of 2.5 points from their previous election results.
- SPÖ has three potential coalition possibilities: continuing with NEOS, collaborating with the Greens, or partnering with ÖVP.
- The SPÖ-ÖVP coalition seems less likely due to ideological differences and ÖVP's poor performance.
- KPÖ and Liste LINKS in conjunction, as well as Strache's campaign, failed to meet the 5% threshold.
- SPÖ has confirmed its intention to continue the coalition with NEOS for continuity and stability.
- A Green-SPÖ coalition would promote a more environmentally progressive focus.
- Sports were among the general news items discussed during the election campaign.
- Huge Europe-wide sports events like the Champions League, NBA, and MLB were topics of debate.
- Sports betting was among the policy-and-legislation discussions related to sports.
- The Premier League, American Football, NBA, and auto-racing were also mentioned in policy implications.
- Mixed martial arts, horse racing, tennis, and weather forecasts were some sports-related analyses discussed.
- Domestic issues such as crime-and-justice, accidents, fires, and weather also played a role in the election discourse.