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Vienna opted for the decisive outcome

Reds, the SPÖ party, emerge victorious in the Vienna election on Sunday. As per the nearly complete preliminary final results, including most postal votes, they stand at 39.5 percent with a minor decrease.

,   and  ASMedia
3 min read

Vienna opted for the decisive outcome

Vienna Election Results Recap

In the recent Vienna elections, the Socialist Party of Austria (SPO) clinched a narrow first place victory, securing 39.5 percent of the votes with a slight decrease. The Freedom Party of Austria (FPO) made significant gains, securing 20.8 percent, while the Greens maintained their position with 14.2 percent. The race for fourth place between NEOS and the Austrian People's Party (OVP) is still tight, with postal votes to be counted on Monday.

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On election night, NEOS and OVP were neck and neck, with 9.8 percent and 9.7 percent, respectively. Postal votes yet to be counted will only slightly change the results.

According to projections from the Foresight Institute and the Austrian Broadcasting Corporation (ORF), the SPO is projected to maintain 39.5 percent, while the FPO will reach 20.4 percent, and the Greens will secure 14.5 percent. The struggle for fourth place between NEOS (9.9 percent) and OVP (9.7 percent) is likely to continue after Monday's postal vote tally. The margin of error for these projections stands at +/-0.3 percentage points. Most postal votes were counted on Sunday.

SPO loses ground, OVP experiences a significant decline

Compared to the 2020 election results, the SPO dropped 2.2 percentage points, coming in at 41.6 percent then. The OVP suffered a substantial loss, plunging 10.7 percentage points from their previous 20.4 percent. The FPO recorded a significant increase, gaining a record 13.2 points, almost tripling their vote share from the Scandal of Ibiza days in 2019. The Greens managed to hold their own, losing only 0.3 points from their 2020 result of 14.8 percent. NEOS saw a gain of 2.5 points, moving up from 7.5 percent in 2020.

SPO faces coalition hurdles

According to the Foresight Institute's projection, the SPO (43 seats) has three possible coalition paths: continuing with their current partner NEOS (future 10 seats), working with the Austrian People's Party (OVP, also 10 seats), or joining forces with the Greens (15 seats). Collaborating with the FPO (22 seats) is not an option for the SPO.

KPO and Strache's bid fails

The KPO, partnered with the LINKS list, and team Strache, both failed to meet the 5 percent hurdle, garnering 4.0 and 1.1 percent, respectively.

Additional Insights

For the SPO, forming a coalition with the Greens, taking on a minority government, or relying on ad-hoc support from smaller parties appears most likely. However, if negotiations falter, a minority government becomes increasingly probable. The Greens and SPÖ may face challenges due to conflicting policies, particularly in areas like housing and economic stability versus stricter climate and social policies. The FPO's surge in popularity poses a threat, as they could block initiatives, forcing the SPO to pursue cross-aisle compromises.

  1. The coalition possibilities for the SPO following the Vienna elections include collaborations with NEOS, the Austrian People's Party (OVP), or the Greens, according to the Foresight Institute's projections.
  2. By securing 43 seats, the SPO has three potential coalition partners, namely NEOS, OVP, and the Greens.
  3. Collaborating with the FPO, which gained a considerable vote share, is not an option for the SPO due to political differences.
  4. The KPO and Strache's partnership failed to meet the 5 percent hurdle, with garnering 4.0 and 1.1 percent, respectively.
  5. Maintaining a minority government or taking ad-hoc support from smaller parties appears to be the most likely approach for the SPO after forming a coalition with either the Greens, NEOS, or OVP has proven challenging.
  6. If negotiations fail, a minority government becomes increasingly probable for the SPO.
  7. The SPO and Greens might face difficulties in forming a coalition due to conflicting policies in areas such as housing, economic stability, versus stricter climate, and social policies.
  8. The FPO's surge in popularity poses a threat to the SPO as they could potentially block initiatives, prompting the SPO to pursue cross-aisle compromises.
  9. Strict migration policies, war and conflicts, and possibly updated policy and legislation are likely to be significant topics in the upcoming football of politics, with candidates focusing on these issues in their campaigns.
  10. General news, crime and justice, and accidents, including car accidents and fires, regularly dominate headlines alongside political news in Vienna post-election.
  11. European leagues, Champions League, Premier League, and American football are among the popular sports discussions in Vienna, with football (soccer) garnering particular interest, followed by entertainment news such as NHL, NBA, and NFL, and college sports like NCAA football.
  12. Serie A and Laliga earn mentions in sports-related articles and discussions, indicating growing interest in international soccer leagues within the Viennese community.
  13. In light of the recent election results and the evolving political landscape, the future of Vienna's social and economic policies will likely be shaped by the formation of a coalition resulting from the complex dynamics between the major parties.
Vienna's ballot in Sunday's election saw the Socialist Party of Austria (SPÖ) securing the top spot, as nearly all postal votes have been tabulated. The SPÖ stands at approximately 39.5%, showing a slight decrease from their previous numbers.

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