Updated betting strategies for MLB bullpens on May 5:
MLB Bullpen Betting Systems Update for May 5:
This past week was a profitable one for my MLB Bullpen Systems, with all but the "Easiest" angle making gains. It was a wacky week with plenty of close games, so teams seemed to be floating around in terms of their ratings. But one team had a particularly rough go of it.
The biggest news is that I've discovered a robust system that has been producing consistent results since last season called the IMPORTANCE OF PITCHING SYSTEM. It shows that even mediocre teams can find an edge in games when they have both the starting pitching and bullpen advantages. This year it's hitting at nearly a +20% ROI! We'll be keeping a close eye on it, and Integrating it into our daily MLB Analytics Reports.
Now, let's check out the system records:
The quickest way to play the bullpen system:
For the '25 season, teams with a better bullpen rating and an even or worse record have gone 53-29 for +16.2 units and a ROI of 19.8%! It's a solid foundational angle we'll be including in our daily MLB Analytics Reports.
Fade better bullpen overpriced favorites:
In the last two seasons, when the starting pitcher difference between the better-rated bullpen team was less than 19%, those big favorites have lost big (-118.22 units, -24.2% ROI). But they're off to a solid 27-6 start (+12.65 units) this year.
Back big favorites with better bullpen ratings and a 19% or higher winning percentage advantage:
These teams were 35-10 for +10.37 units last year with a 23% ROI. They've started strong again this year, going 35-10 for +10.37 units and a 23% ROI.
Overpriced better bullpen without a big starting pitcher edge angle was the 2023 and 2024 regular seasons' most lucrative system:
This angularly delivered a whopping 307-182 record (-118.22 units, -24.2% ROI) in 2023-2024. They're off to a slower start this year, but we'll keep an eye on them.
Better bullpen underdog teams are typically solid wagers:
These teams went 701-790 for +46.27 units last year but are off to a slow start this year, going 76-103 for -14.92 units. We'll continue to track them and see if they bounce back.
Remember: To get the most out of these strategies, you'll need VSiN Pro Access to MAKINEN DAILY POWER RATINGS and the qualifying angles from our MLB Analytics Report. No serious baseball bettor should be without it.
Key Bullpen Stats (through games of Sunday, 5/4):
Top 5 Bullpen ERAs:1. SAN DIEGO: 1.732. SAN FRANCISCO: 2.533. DETROIT: 2.574. HOUSTON: 2.845. TAMPA BAY: 2.97
Worst 5 Bullpen ERAs:30. LA ANGELS: 7.0229. WASHINGTON: 6.5528. BALTIMORE: 5.0827. MILWAUKEE: 4.8726. MIAMI: 4.83
These systems can help you navigate the ever-evolving MLB betting landscape. Keep in mind that the bullpen systems are just one part of a larger handicapping library, so be sure to consider additional factors when making your picks.
- In the MLB Bullpen Systems, the IMPORTANCE OF PITCHING SYSTEM has shown consistency since last season, achieving a nearly +20% ROI.
- For the current season, teams with a better bullpen rating and an even or worse record have managed a +16.2 unit gain and a 19.8% ROI, making it a solid foundational angle.
- In the last two seasons, when the starting pitcher difference between the better-rated bullpen team was less than 19%, those big favorites have lost significantly (-118.22 units, -24.2% ROI).
- When backing big favorites with better bullpen ratings and a 19% or higher winning percentage advantage, teams have consistently won, with a 23% ROI over the past two seasons.
- In the 2023 and 2024 regular seasons, the most lucrative system involved betting on teams with a better bullpen without a significant starting pitcher edge, delivering a -24.2% ROI.
