Union and FDP witness an uptick, while Greens experience a setback in ZDF's political poll
The upcoming federal election in Germany is expected to bring significant changes to the political landscape, as revealed by a survey conducted by the Mannheim Research Group Wahlen in June 2020.
According to the poll, the Social Democratic Party (SPD) is expected to remain at 15%, a slight dip from their modern-era average but still enough to remain in government, possibly as a minority partner in a grand coalition with the Christian Democrats (CDU). However, the SPD's decline in support is noteworthy, as it could potentially lead to a shift in coalition dynamics.
The Greens are poised to make a significant leap, with projections indicating they could reach 19% in the federal election. This surge in support for the Greens reflects internal shifts within the party, as Robert Habeck stepped down as leader and new leadership is expected to take over.
The Left party, meanwhile, is expected to gain almost double its vote share from the previous election, reaching 8.8%. This resurgence in support for The Left is largely attributed to their focus on poverty and housing issues, rather than restrictive immigration policies. The party has particularly gained traction among younger voters (18-29 years).
The Free Democrats (FDP) are also expected to see an increase in support, with projections indicating they could gain up to 5% in the federal election.
It is important to note that the June 2020 ZDF Politbarometer federal election results do not appear in the search results. However, information about the 2025 German federal election results and potential coalitions is available and relevant for understanding party shifts and coalition possibilities over time.
In the 2025 election, a coalition of CDU/CSU and SPD could have a majority, but a coalition of CDU/CSU and Greens would also have a majority, making both options likely. With the SPD's poor result and Die Linke's resurgence, other left-leaning coalitions involving Greens and Die Linke could be considered but are complicated by policy differences. The CDU's proposal to support Ukraine, the FDP's focus on pension reform, and the Greens' support for immigrant policies indicate policy platforms that could affect coalition prospects.
Other parties together are expected to receive 5% in the federal election.
In summary, the 2020 survey suggests that the German federal election could see a shift in coalition dynamics, with the SPD's decline in support and the Greens' surge in popularity. The Left party and FDP are also expected to see gains in support, making for a complex and interesting political landscape ahead of the election.
- The general-news reveals that other parties, aside from the SPD, CDU/CSU, Greens, and The Left, are collectively predicted to secure 5% in the upcoming federal election.
- The poll indicates that other potential coalition options, such as those involving left-leaning parties like the Greens and The Left, could emerge due to the SPD's decline and the rise of the Greens, complicating the political landscape in Germany.
