Unforeseen Power Transition in Russia: Is it a Palace Revolution or Unrest in Moscow?
Private Criticism of Putin Escalates
In a candid interview with Glavred, Andrey Novak, head of the Ukrainian Economists Committee, expounded on the potential shifts in Russia's political landscape, particularly the likelihood of a power change in Moscow.
Novak hinted at various forms a "palace coup" could take, ranging from a leader's physical elimination to a military coup, with the Russian military leadership bearing the brunt of the ongoing conflict. He emphasized that the military's substantial losses are not lost on them, and they thoroughly understand their predicament.
When asked about mass Russian protests leading to a change of power, Novak expressed skepticism, deeming large-scale demonstrations in Moscow unlikely under current circumstances. However, he suggested that daily attacks on Moscow by the Ukrainian military could prompt Muscovites to question the status quo and potentially rise up against the Kremlin.
Novak also speculated on the potential role of Russian businessmen, who are facing significant financial losses and traveling restrictions, in challenging the current system. He posited that the most impacted individuals could rally together to advocate for changes in Russia's foreign and domestic policies.
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Insights:
Although the piece does not provide explicit insights into the Russian military leadership's current views on Putin or the possibility of a palace coup, various factors hint at Putin's strong grip on power. The Kremlin's active appointment of veterans to leadership positions indicates a pro-war alliance that reinforces Putin's vision. Despite Russia's poor performance in Ukraine, Putin's resilience and confidence in ultimate victory may contribute to the military leadership's continued support. However, ongoing internal pressures and the evolution of the conflict could potentially create opportunities for challenges to Putin's leadership.
War-and-conflicts continue to shape Russia's political landscape, as hints of a potential palace coup are raised by Andrey Novak, head of the Ukrainian Economists Committee. Politics, general news, and international relations are all intertwined, with Russian businessmen facing financial losses and traveling restrictions potentially playing a role in challenging the current system.
