Underdog Value Offered by Titans for Third Week in a Row, Possessing Same-Game Parlay Opportunity
In Week 3 of NFL season, the Titans, despite a rocky start, proved their resilience by snatching a win as underdogs in Week 1. Now, I'm backing them to do it again, with a spread of +3 in their match against Cleveland.
Last week, Tannehill shook off his Week 1 struggles, showcasing impressive performance against the Chargers, without turning the ball over. This week's match is set to be a gritty one, featuring the Browns - who suffered a loss against Pittsburgh with superstar running back Nick Chubb sidelined due to a season-ending injury.
The betting line has shifted a point since the Monday Night game. I jumped on the opportunity to bet on the Titans at +4 on Monday, and I'm doubling down at +3 this time around.
Vrabel's Titans have a history of success as underdogs, particularly on the road. Since 2018, they've won 25 out of 43 games in which they were underdogs, securing an impressive 15-10-1 record away from home.
Additionally, the Titans have a stronger record ATS with rest advantages, while the Browns struggle with disadvantages. Over the last decade, Cleveland's home favorite cover rate is only 37%.
I'm also predicting the under in this game. Both teams have powerful rushing games, leading to extended drives and keeping the clock moving. Defensively, both teams excel in ground play, ranking among the top 5 in football in rushing yards per play allowed.
Don't be fooled by the final score from Pittsburgh vs Cleveland, as the Browns exhibited outstanding defense throughout the game, allowing only 12 points, despite the Steelers' defensive scores.
Despite the Titans' high passing yards allowed this season, they primarily force opponents to pass due to their pass-funnel defense. Last year, they had the third-best third down defense, and this year they are projected to be within the top 10.
Both teams might find it challenging offensively, but they're likely to stick to their core strategies, especially with Watson still finding his footing. Interestingly, the Browns have a strong history of supporting under bets when they have a rest disadvantage, going 6-0 since Stefanski took over in 2020.
If you're considering a same-game parlay for both the Titans and the under, DraftKings Sportsbook tends to offer some of the best payouts. However, as of Wednesday morning, the total has come down by 1 point. You can also find the Titans +3.5 in the SGP section, and TEN +3.5 with under 39.5 was offering +240 in the same-game parlay section.
Remember, parlays can be thrilling, but they should be approached cautiously, keeping bankroll management top-of-mind. If you're confident about these picks, consider placing a unit on each straight wager, and maybe 0.25 units on the same-game parlay, preserving your marathon strategy in sports betting.
- In Week 3 of the NFL season, I'm placing a wager on the Titans, who are the underdogs with a spread of +3 against Cleveland.
- Last week, Tannehill shook off his Week 1 struggles, showcasing an impressive performance without turning the ball over, and I'm backing him to do it again.
- Vrabel's Titans have a history of success as underdogs, particularly on the road, winning 25 out of 43 games since 2018.
- I'm also predicting the under in this game, as both teams have powerful rushing games and strong defenses in ground play, leading to extended drives and keeping the clock moving.
- The Browns struggle with disadvantages in terms of ATS, with an home favorite cover rate of only 37% over the last decade.
- If you're considering a same-game parlay for both the Titans and the under, DraftKings Sportsbook may offer some of the best payouts, but be aware that the total has come down by 1 point as of Wednesday morning.
- Remember, parlays can be exciting, but they should be approached cautiously, keeping bankroll management top-of-mind. Consider placing a unit on each straight wager, and maybe 0.25 units on the same-game parlay, to preserve your marathon strategy in sports betting.
