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Ulta Beauty Forecasts EPS Dip in 2025, but Strong Recovery Expected in 2026

Ulta Beauty faces a temporary earnings setback in 2025. But with a new CEO at the helm, analysts anticipate a strong comeback in 2026.

This image is clicked in a room, where it looks like Store. There are so many bottles in this image...
This image is clicked in a room, where it looks like Store. There are so many bottles in this image and cans. There is a Banner in the middle which is indicating Supra brand. Bottom right corner there is a logo LM.

Ulta Beauty Forecasts EPS Dip in 2025, but Strong Recovery Expected in 2026

Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA), a leading US and Mexican specialty beauty retailer, is expected to report a decline in earnings per share (EPS) for fiscal 2025, according to analysts. Despite this, the company's stock maintains a cautiously optimistic outlook.

Analysts predict Ulta Beauty's EPS to drop 4% to $24.33 in fiscal 2025. However, they anticipate a rebound in the following year, with EPS expected to grow 10.8% to $26.95 in fiscal 2026. The company's shares have surged 36.8% over the past 52 weeks, outperforming market benchmarks.

In the recent quarter, Ulta Beauty's shares fell 7.1% following its Q2 2025 results. This was due to a decrease in operating margin and concerns about consumer demand and inventory levels. Looking ahead, analysts expect EPS to decrease 13.4% to $4.45 in Q3 2025. Despite these fluctuations, the average analyst price target for Ulta Beauty is $589.48, indicating a potential upside of nearly 14% from current levels. Kecia Steelman, who was promoted to CEO in January 2025, now leads the company during this financial phase.

Ulta Beauty faces a temporary earnings dip in fiscal 2025, but analysts anticipate a strong recovery in the following year. Despite recent stock fluctuations, the company's long-term prospects remain positive, with a cautiously optimistic outlook and a potential upside in share price.

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