UFC 316 Fight Odds and Forecast: Luque Against Holland
A battle between two UFC welterweights ready to dance after scoring "Performance of the Night" bonuses kicks off the UFC 316 pay-per-view event. Vicente Luque and Kevin Holland square off in a bout that could shake up the UFC's 170-pound rankings. Let's delve into the odds, preview, predictions, and analysis for this intriguing matchup happening on June 7 at Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey.
The Main Event Before the Main Event
Here's a glance at the UFC 316 card, featuring some captivating bouts:
- UFC Bantamweight Champion Merab Dvalishvili vs. Sean O'Malley
- Julianna Pena vs. Kayla Harrison (Former two-time PFL lightweight tournament winner)
- Vicente Luque vs. Kevin Holland (Our current focus)
UFC 316: Luque vs. Holland Preview
Luque: A Mixed Bag
Currently ranked No. 14 in the official UFC welterweight rankings, Vicente Luque (23-10-1) brings diverse skills to the octagon. The 33-year-old has spent the last eight years honing his craft within the UFC. While Luque had impressive winning streaks earlier, he falters when faced with top-tier opponents, such as Leon Edwards, Stephen Thompson, and Belal Muhammad. With a 2-2 record since suffering the loss to Muhammad in 2022, Luque seeks redemption in this fight.
Holland: One Step Forward, Two Steps Back

Kevin Holland (27-13-0-1) boasts an impressive resume, going 12-3 before earning his shot at a UFC contract. Despite a defeat by decision from Thiago Santos, Holland has remained active within the UFC. With an 8-1 run from 2020 to 2020, Holland scored a "Performance of the Night" bonus-winning knockout against ex-Strikeforce champion Ronaldo "Jacare" Souza. However, his career has been inconsistent since then. Currently, he holds a 5-7-0-1 record, never winning or losing more than two fights consecutively.
Betting Odds and Line Movement
Since the odds were first set, Holland has gained an edge in the eyes of bookmakers. Initially, Luque opened as the +140 underdog, with Holland listed as the -160 favorite. Today, the lines have shifted, with Holland hitting -225 and Luque showing at +190.
Predicted Outcome
Extensive analysis suggests that Holland has a stronger striking game, possessing a height and reach advantage over Luque. Should he be able to keep the bout standing, he has a good chance of coming out victorious. However, Luque shines where Holland struggles – in grappling and takedown defense.
Employing his wrestling skills and grinding out a decision win over Holland seems to be the wisest betting play for those seeking value in this contest.
- Sports enthusiasts and Mixed-Martial-Art (MMA) fans are eagerly anticipating the UFC 316 event on June 7, with many focusing on the intriguing matchup between two UFC welterweights, Vicente Luque and Kevin Holland.
- As the odds for UFC 316 have been released, some notable shifts can be seen in the Luque vs. Holland bout. Currently, Holland is the -225 favorite, while Luque stands as the +190 underdog, suggesting that bookmakers favor Holland's chances in this mixed-martial-arts battle.
