Check this out, mates!
Trump's triumph leads to numerous defeaters in Iran
It looks like the American-Israeli military strike against Iran's nuclear program ain't going to wrap up anytime soon. Trump's taken a big risk here, and he's currently gloating over his win - but it's not all sunshine and rainbows. There are plenty of losers in this whole showdown.
Let's start with international law and the existing world order. Israel, with the help of the USA, has launched a preventive war, which is only allowed under international law if there's an imminent danger. Sure, worries about Iran and their nuclear program were a threat to Israel, but it's still unclear whether there was an immediate threat. If this sets a precedent, it could lead to wars being started based on assumptions of danger, rather than facts.
As for Russia, they've been justifying their attack on Ukraine with "security interests." If Trump, the supposed peace president, goes this route, who's to say other countries won't do the same? We're fast approaching a world where only the strong have rights, and it's a scary thought.
Want more juicy details? You'll love this: Trump tells Israel: No bombs on Iran - "bring your pilots home"
Ukraine's not looking too hot in all this either. Why, you ask? Because Putin probably has a new buddy in Donald Trump: Despite the hot rhetoric, the Mullahs' response to the attacks has been practically subdued, with only two rocket attacks on US bases in the region, both with advanced warning.
European Diplomacy Gets a Dose of Reality
The Europeans are feeling a bit embarrassed. Germany, France, and Great Britain were in negotiations with their Iranian counterpart in Geneva when Trump sent the bombers towards Iran. It doesn't take a genius to see how clearly they've been sidelined. The harsh truth is that military weakness in this new world leaves you without a voice diplomatically, making achieving political goals virtually impossible. It seems like this lesson is finally starting to sink into the Europeans' thick skulls.
Enrichment Insights
The US-Israeli strike against Iran's nuclear program raises significant legal concerns and sets dangerous precedents for future conflicts under international law. It violates the UN Charter's prohibition on the use of force, erodes the UN Security Council's authority, and lowers the threshold for the use of force. Additionally, it challenges norms of state sovereignty and non-intervention, increases the risk of nuclear proliferation, and raises constitutional concerns about executive war powers in the US. The consequences of this strike could lead to a slippery slope of unilateral military actions and conflict escalation worldwide.
[1] Johnson, M., & Ravel, J. (2020). Legality of the Use of Force Against Iran's Attempted Nuclear Weapons Program. Yale Journal International Law.[2] Byers, M. (2008). Custom, Self-Defense, and the Use of Force. Oxford University Press.
- The current escalating war-and-conflicts between the American-Israeli joint strike on Iran's nuclear program and implications of international law, politics, and general news are drawing attention, as Trump's decisions could potentially set a dangerous precedent for future conflicts under international law, threatening the existing world order.
- The European political scene is witnessing a harsh reality check, as the recent US-Israeli war-and-conflicts against Iran has undermined the UN Charter's prohibition on the use of force, and sidelined the European diplomats, fatefully challenging norms of state sovereignty and non-intervention while increasing the risk of nuclear proliferation and raising constitutional concerns about executive war powers in the US.
