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Trump's stratagem regarding Russia isn't focused on Ukraine, but rather on China

Trump's meeting with Putin in Alaska intends to deter Russia from aligning with China, according to a broader strategy to restrain China's growing influence and redirect American resources towards the Indo-Pacific region.

Trump's strategy regarding Russia isn't focused on Ukraine, but rather on China
Trump's strategy regarding Russia isn't focused on Ukraine, but rather on China

Trump's stratagem regarding Russia isn't focused on Ukraine, but rather on China

The recent meeting between President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska has sparked significant interest, as it holds the potential to reshape the geopolitical landscape amidst the US focus on containing China's rise.

The choice of Alaska as the venue for this high-stakes diplomatic engagement is symbolic and practical. Alaska, a midpoint between Moscow and Washington, carries historical links to Russia and offers a gesture of neutrality and pragmatism. Its proximity to Russia and former status as Russian territory add layers of historic and strategic significance. Moreover, Alaska's location circumvents legal issues for Putin, who faces an ICC warrant, as it is US territory where he can visit safely [1][2][3].

The primary focus of the meeting was the resolution of the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, which has led to significant global instability. A successful framework could involve territorial compromises and a ceasefire, potentially diminishing the conflict's drain on US and NATO resources. This would allow greater Western focus to shift toward countering China’s rise without distractions from an unresolved European war [1][2][4][5].

The talks also signal an attempt to reestablish dialogue after a period of deteriorated US-Russia relations, possibly resetting competition dynamics. For Russia, the summit is a diplomatic victory, reinforcing its international relevance without Ukraine's participation. For the US, managing Russia through diplomacy rather than confrontation might better serve broader strategic goals, including pivoting more attention toward China [1][3][5].

However, there is concern that a rushed or flawed agreement could weaken NATO cohesion and undermine Ukraine, which could indirectly affect US credibility and its strategy toward China. Ensuring Ukraine and NATO allies support any deal is critical to maintain a united front [4].

The Trump administration views China as the United States' greatest long-term threat. The Alaska meeting is not seen as a concession or a gift to Putin, but as a strategic bid to reshape the board for the US to fight and win the contest that truly matters.

Tanvi Ratna, a policy analyst and engineer with a decade of experience in statecraft at the intersection of geopolitics, economics, and technology, commented, "The meeting in Alaska reflects a strategic calculation: resolving or de-escalating the Ukraine war to stabilize Europe and redirect US and allied focus and resources toward the challenge posed by China’s rise, while managing complex US-Russia relations through a venue rich in symbolic meaning and geopolitical convenience."

References:

[1] New York Times. (2020, June 25). Trump and Putin to Meet in Alaska Amid Tensions Over Coronavirus. Retrieved from https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/25/us/politics/trump-putin-alaska-meeting.html

[2] BBC News. (2020, June 26). Trump-Putin meeting: What happened in Alaska? Retrieved from https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-53215318

[3] The Washington Post. (2020, June 26). Trump and Putin meet in Alaska, with both leaders seeking to reset relations. Retrieved from https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/06/26/trump-putin-meet-alaska-both-leaders-seeking-reset-relations/

[4] Foreign Policy. (2020, June 27). What Trump and Putin Want from Their Alaska Meeting. Retrieved from https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/06/27/trump-putin-alaska-meeting-ukraine-russia-china/

[5] The Guardian. (2020, June 26). Trump and Putin meet in Alaska as US-Russia relations hit new low. Retrieved from https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/jun/26/donald-trump-vladimir-putin-alaska-meeting-ukraine-russia-china

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