Tropical Storm Erin Potentially Affecting South Florida: Discover the Predicted Course of Its Journey
Powerful Hurricane Erin Remains Offshore, Affecting Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, and Bermuda
The Atlantic Hurricane Season is in full swing, and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is closely monitoring Tropical Storm Erin. As of August 23, Erin, which rapidly intensified to a Category 5 storm near the Caribbean, has largely steered clear of direct landfall on the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, and Bermuda but has still caused tropical-storm-force conditions in these areas.
Impacts on the Regions
While Erin did not directly hit the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico, its proximity brought tropical storm conditions including heavy rains and strong winds, causing localized flooding and wind damage. Bermuda may have experienced tropical storm to minimal hurricane conditions as Erin passed south of the island with a large wind field extending hundreds of miles. Along the U.S. East Coast, dangerous surf, rip currents, and coastal flooding risks have been reported due to Erin's huge size and strong winds offshore.
Forecast and Intensification
As of Thursday morning, Tropical Storm Erin was moving westward at 17 mph with sustained winds of 50 mph. The forecast suggests that Erin will pass north of the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico, gradually turning to the north-northwest on Sunday as it approaches these islands, with a large turn expected Monday into Tuesday. By the end of the week and the weekend, Erin is expected to be over water that is 84 degrees or warmer, which will contribute to its intensification. The forecast models predict a turn to the north for Tropic Storm Erin to take place on Monday and Tuesday, as the storm is directly east of Miami.
The updated forecast track shows Tropical Storm Erin moving towards Bermuda by mid to late next week. As of now, Erin is expected to strengthen into a Category 1 hurricane on Friday and potentially become a major hurricane by Sunday, according to NEXT Weather meteorologist Dave Warren.
Monitoring the Situation
Our Miami team, a group of experienced journalists, brings you the content on ourMiami.com. The NHC will issue forecast tracks every six hours at 5 a.m., 11 a.m., 5 p.m. and 11 p.m. Hurricane hunters are scheduled to investigate Tropical Storm Erin and provide data from in and around the system to update the forecast intensity and track. The NEXT Weather team will continue to monitor updates from the NHC and track the latest model trends.
South Florida residents should stay alert to any significant changes in the forecast track in the next few days, as there remains uncertainty about the impacts Tropical Storm Erin will have across the Mid-Atlantic or the Northeast, with a few of the western tracks taking it very close to the coast to the north.
[1] https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2021/advisories/al092021.shtml [2] https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2021/advisories/al102021.shtml [3] https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2021/advisories/al112021.shtml
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