Tropical depression located beyond the Philippines' Paramount Area (PAR) expected to stay outside, according to recent forecasts.
A new tropical depression has formed outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) at 2 pm on August 1. According to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), the depression is moving east at 25 kilometers per hour (km/h) and currently located 1,365 kilometers east northeast of extreme Northern Luzon.
It is unlikely for the tropical depression to enter the PAR, but PAGASA expects two or three tropical cyclones to develop within or enter PAR in August.
The southwest monsoon, also known as habagat, is weakening after causing recent havoc. The monsoon is not directly affecting any part of the Philippines, and it is not enhancing the tropical depression outside the PAR.
The rest of Luzon will have generally fair weather, with just isolated rain showers or thunderstorms, due to the southwest monsoon. Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Abra, Batanes, and Babuyan Islands are still experiencing potential rain and thunderstorms due to the monsoon. The Visayas and Mindanao are not affected by the southwest monsoon, but they may still experience localized thunderstorms.
PAGASA uses its own naming list for tropical cyclones within its Area of Responsibility (PAR). The next three local tropical cyclone names are Fabian, Gorio, and Huaning. These names will be used for the local tropical cyclones that develop within the PAR in August.
In summary, the upcoming cyclone names from PAGASA for the local Philippine area are:
- Fabian
- Gorio
- Huaning.
Scattered rain and thunderstorms may still occur in Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Abra, Batanes, and Babuyan Islands until early Saturday. The tropical depression is currently moving east, and PAGASA expects it to head northeast by Saturday, August 2. The depression has maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h and gustiness of up to 55 km/h.
Stay tuned for updates on the tropical depression and any potential tropical cyclones that may develop within the PAR in the coming days.
- The environmental science implications of the tropical depression could include potential impacts on marine and coastal ecosystems as it moves east.
- Understanding the weather patterns, including the presence of the tropical depression and the southwest monsoon (habagat), is crucial for prediction and management of agricultural activities in the Philippines.
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