Tropical Depression Emerges, Ending Atlantic's Peculiar Storm Lull; Forecasting Future Path of Hurricane Gabrielle
In the heart of the Atlantic, Tropical Depression Seven has made its appearance, approximately 1,185 miles from the Caribbean's northern Leeward Islands. The storm, which formed on Wednesday morning, is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm by Wednesday afternoon and potentially become a hurricane by the weekend.
As we move into October, the typical breeding ground for storms shifts westward away from Africa. This year, the Gulf, Caribbean, and western Atlantic have become the typical formation hot spots late in the season. However, this storm is about two weeks late, forming on September 22, typically when the Atlantic is bustling with tropical activity.
The Atlantic usually witnesses most of its tropical activity from mid-August to mid-October. This year, the tropical Atlantic has been enveloped in dry, stable air, which has been a hindrance for the formation of tropical systems. Additionally, storm-killing winds in different levels of the atmosphere, known as wind shear, have been stronger than usual for this time of year in western and central parts of the Atlantic.
Despite these challenges, Tropical Depression Seven has managed to form. At the time of writing, the system has sustained winds of 35 mph. As it moves west-northwest, high pressure to the north of the system will act as a steering wheel, guiding its path.
The researcher at Colorado State University who studies weather events in the Atlantic is significant for the current weather event due to his expertise in Atlantic hurricane activity. His name, however, is not explicitly stated in the search results provided.
Sea surface temperatures across the Atlantic basin are currently warmer than normal and have been that way for most of the summer, providing a fertile ground for the development of tropical systems. In fact, only one of the season's six tropical storms through August, Hurricane Erin, has become a hurricane.
Another area of showers and storms is emerging from Africa and could develop into another tropical system. As we move into September, a month typically very busy for tropical systems, this emerging system adds to the watch list.
However, for the next week, this emerging system is no imminent threat to land. The main impacts in the eastern Caribbean islands, including Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, are expected to be high surf and dangerous rip currents.
The 2025 hurricane season has been unusual, with an nearly three-week stretch with no storms during the peak of hurricane season. This emerging system serves as a reminder that the Atlantic remains active and unpredictable, even in the midst of a slower season.
In a separate development, Hurricane Erin, which formed earlier in the season, was a frightening peek into a new world order of how strong Atlantic storms are becoming as the planet warms. As we continue to monitor Tropical Depression Seven and any potential future systems, it's a stark reminder of the importance of preparedness and vigilance during hurricane season.
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