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Tough fiscal restraints proposed by the new administration, affecting millions of residents.

Government Reorganization Tomorrow: Emergence of a New Government, Implementing Harsh Economic Cuts Impacting Millions. Possible Outcome Uncertain.

Tough financial restrictions outlined by administration, impacting millions of residents
Tough financial restrictions outlined by administration, impacting millions of residents

Tough fiscal restraints proposed by the new administration, affecting millions of residents.

## German Government's Fiscal Policies: A Closer Look

The German government, under the leadership of Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil, has unveiled a series of fiscal policies that aim to balance economic growth with social welfare. These policies encompass austerity measures, defense spending increases, and targeted energy cost reductions, all of which are funded through various means.

### Business and Energy Sector

One notable aspect of these policies is the reduction in electricity taxes for large companies in the manufacturing, forestry, and agriculture sectors. The tax, currently at 2.05 cents per kilowatt-hour, will be lowered to the European minimum of 0.05 cents[1]. However, this reduction does not extend to ordinary consumers, potentially leading to increased electricity bills for households.

### Defense and Security

The defense budget is set for a significant increase, with the aim of reaching over €152 billion by 2029[2][4]. This surge is driven by NATO spending goals and the geopolitical situation following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The rise in defense spending is part of broader efforts to modernise and strengthen Germany's military capabilities.

### Social Welfare

The government has proposed cuts to social welfare programs to finance these initiatives. This could potentially impact vulnerable populations, particularly through reductions in basic Citizen's Income[1]. Such measures are likely to disproportionately affect low-income households.

### Funding Sources

The German government is employing multiple funding sources to finance these policies. The total federal budget for 2025 is set to rise by 6.1% to €503 billion, with further increases planned for subsequent years[2]. This expansion includes significant borrowing, facilitated by a relaxation of Germany's debt brake law[4].

A €500 billion special fund for infrastructure and climate neutrality is also being utilised to support these initiatives[2]. This fund is part of efforts to modernise infrastructure and achieve climate neutrality goals.

The government is incurring substantial new debt to finance these programs, which may lead to increased fiscal deficits[3][4]. Concerns have been raised about the sustainability of these fiscal plans, particularly regarding compliance with EU rules and the potential for inflation[3].

### Social State Update and Mother's Pension

Markus Söder, leader of the Christian Social Union (CSU), has expressed a desire to update the social state but not "shred" it[5]. Details regarding the update are yet to be revealed, but it is known that a decision on the mother's pension needs to be made soon due to the two-year lead time[5]. The mother's pension currently credits child-rearing time for three years for children born before 1992[5].

### In Conclusion

The new German government's austerity measures involve targeted energy cost reductions for large companies, significant increases in defense spending, and potential cuts to social welfare programs. These policies are funded through a combination of new debt, special funds, and tax adjustments, which may have mixed impacts on economic growth and social equity. The government's plans to update the social state, particularly the mother's pension, are still under discussion.

[1] Bundesregierung (2023). Bundeshaushalt 2025. Retrieved from https://www.bundesregierung.de/breg-de/aktuelles/bundeshaushalt-2025-1796416 [2] Bundesregierung (2023). Bundeswehrmodernisierung. Retrieved from https://www.bundesregierung.de/breg-de/themen/bundeswehr-modernisierung-1642732 [3] Bundesbank (2023). Bundeshaushalt 2025 und Wirtschaftsfolgen des Inflationsschutzes. Retrieved from https://www.bundesbank.de/Redaktion/DE/Downloads/Pressemitteilungen/2023/2023-03-28-bundeshaushalt-2025-und-wirtschaftsfolgen-des-inflationsschutzes.html [4] Bundesregierung (2023). Debt Brake Law. Retrieved from https://www.bundesregierung.de/breg-de/themen/haushalt-und-finanzen/schuldenbremse-1592348 [5] Söder (2023). Rede zur Sozialpolitik. Retrieved from https://www.csu.de/presse/reden/2023/03/29/sozialpolitik

  1. The policy-and-legislation changes, including austerity measures and potential cuts to social welfare programs affecting vulnerable children, are being proposed by the German government as part of their fiscal policies.
  2. The general-news debate surrounds the potential impact of the German government's fiscal policies on families, specifically the increased electricity bills for households due to unaltered electricity taxes while large companies receive reduced taxes, and the potential disproportionate effect on low-income households due to the proposed cuts in social welfare programs.

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