Today's Top MLB Prop Wagers: April 27, 2025

Revamped MLB Best Bets: Prepare for another engaging Sunday lineup with these noteworthy picks. We've pinpointed a struggling starter facing the red-hot Dodgers, and a promising batter teed up in Detroit. Let's delve into two intriguing options for today's games.

If you're seeking further insights on picks, props, money lines, and more for today's games, be sure to check out our MLB Picks Page or our MLB Odds Page.

Highly Recommended MLB Prop Bets for April 27th

Dodgers First Five Innings Team Total Over 2.5 (-130) odds via BetOnline
Kerry Carpenter Total Bases Over 1.5 (+108) odds via BetOnline

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Month Totals: 91-129-4 (+9.07u) Last Week Totals: 18-31-2 (-2.36u)

## Pirates vs Dodgers Best Prop Bet

Recommended Pick: Dodgers First Five Innings Team Total Over 2.5 (-130) odds via BetOnline

Will the Dodgers make an early impact against Bailey Falter?

The Dodgers are in luck with the opportunity to challenge Bailey Falter, who ranks as the lowest-rated pitcher for today's games. Falter commences the contest with the worst-rated hitter matchup wOBA, ISO, and strikeout percentage. His 5.19 ERA and 1.19 WHIP to begin the season are less than impressive. Three of his previous five outings have witnessed the team surpassing the 2.5-run mark; the opposing teams scoring under that mark in the first five were Washington and Miami, who have mediocre offenses.

According to FanGraphs, Falter's overall pitch value lies below league average, with 39% of his pitches weaker than standard. The Dodgers boast a third-highest average hitter rating and a solid lineup with four elite-rated hitters and no dismal bats. They also perform slightly above the league average in strikeout and groundball rates. This season, LA ranks seventh in first-half scoring, averaging approximately 2.67 runs per contest. Both home and away splits show minimal disparity.

With a $1.30 cost and Falter giving up more than three runs on average, the Dodgers should have an easy time causing chaos with Falter's pitches.

## Orioles vs Tigers Best Prop Bet

Suggested Pick: Kerry Carpenter Total Bases Over 1.5 (+108) odds via BetOnline

Will Kerry Carpenter break his current hitless streak against Orioles starter Dean Kremer?

Carpping enters this duel as the highest-rated batter for the matchup. In 38 individual assessments, Carpenter records a hit 73% of the time, a single 60% of the time, surpasses this prop 47% of the time, and smacks a home run 21% of the time. To date, the Tigers outfielder possesses a .280 average and a .810 OPS, with five home runs and eight extra-base hits.

Today, he encounters struggling right-hander Dean Kremer, who holds a 6.84 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP. Kremer boasts a BABIP of .333 along with surrendering 2.52 home runs per nine innings. Only one of his five pitches surpass league standards, which he throws just 16% of the time. Kremer's overall repertoire is dismal, with a rating of -1.89. Kremer's pitch mix has been abysmal so far this 2025 season. Fortunately for us, we're focusing on Carpenter's props, not Kremer's.

Carpenter matches well with Kremer's arsenal and, with a tempting money value on a player due for a comeback after three back-to-back hitless games, I'm backing the young talent to spark some activity this afternoon.

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Enrichment Data: ### Overview: Here are some of the top MLB prop bets for April 27, 2025:

Kerry Carpenter Home Run: Carpenter shines against right-handed pitching,showcasing an impressive .844 OPS and .200 ISO. He confronts Dean Kremer,who offers a spike in flyball rate, makingCarpenter a prime contender for a home run.
Mike Trout Home Run: Trout is consistently strong at the plate due to his power hitting skills.
Tom Murphy Home Run: Murphy squares off against Brandon Pfaadt in a hitter-friendly environment. Murphy has encouraging odds for a home run at BetMGM (+650).
Brandon Lowe Home Run: Lowe has had success against right-handed pitchers, as he has hit 100 of his 130 total career home runs versus RHPs. He faces Randy Vasquez, who experienced struggles in his last performance.
Tigers Money Line/Tarik Skubal 6+ K’s Parlay: This combines a bet on the Tigers' victory and Skubal achieving over six strikeouts, providing a competitive price.
Starting this Sunday, baseball fans can find the best MLB picks for the day in our revamped MLB Best Bets newsletter.
Prepare for an exciting day at the ballpark, as we've identified struggling starter Bailey Falter facing the red-hot Dodgers as a noteworthy pick for today's games.
Besides the Dodgers First Five Innings Team Total, Kerry Carpenter's Total Bases is another intriguing prop bet recommended by our analyst, Colby MBets, for April 27th.
If you're just starting out with sports betting, be sure to check out our MLB Picks Page or MLB Odds Page to learn more about picks, props, money lines, and other helpful resources for beginners.