Today's top baseball bets: Forecasting Cubs vs. Blue Jays, bet suggestions, and prop bet options for August 12th
On August 12, 2025, the Chicago Cubs and Toronto Blue Jays will face off in an anticipated game, with starting pitchers José Berríos for Toronto and Ben Brown for Chicago. This highly anticipated contest promises a close battle, according to betting market predictions and analysis.
Predicted Outcomes
The game is expected to be competitive, with the Chicago Cubs slightly undervalued on the money line despite the Blue Jays being favored. Cubs win probability is around 51%, suggesting a close game. Projected score averages roughly 5.2 runs for the Cubs and 4.9 runs for the Blue Jays, indicating a high-scoring encounter.
Betting Picks
The betting market offers several intriguing options for this matchup. The Cubs are attractive underdogs, with money line odds ranging from +111 to +132, offering value at these odds given their win probability. The run line for the Cubs is also favourable, with odds of -186 to -210 for the Cubs to cover +1.5 runs.
The Over/Under (Total) line is set at 9 runs, and it is predicted to hit in about 52.6% of scenarios, offering an exciting offensive showcase.
Player Prop Bets
Key player props include Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is recommended with an Over 1.5 total bases at +120. José Berríos and Ben Brown, both with ERAs above league average, may lead to more batter opportunities. Strikeouts and home runs props are not explicitly provided, but given Berríos’ consistency and Brown’s struggles, expect moderate strikeout counts and potential for home runs from both sides.
Contextual Analysis
Toronto’s strong home record (38-19) and Jose Berríos’ reliability contrast with Ben Brown’s struggles (5-7, 6.04 ERA), favouring the Blue Jays in specialized markets. However, the Cubs’ offense is strong overall, with solid slugging, high run production, and decent on-base metrics that balance the pitching matchup.
Sharp bettors see value in backing the Blue Jays moneyline (-113) and run line (-1.5 +175) due to home advantage and pitching edge, but simulations see worthwhile value in the Cubs with favourable odds.
Game Forecast
This game forecasts a closely contested battle with balanced run production around 9 total runs and a slight lean towards the Blue Jays by odds. However, the Cubs have profitable value on underdog lines. The Over/Under Pick is Over 9 (-108), and the Money line Pick for the Chicago Cubs is Cubs +111.
The game will be broadcast on TBS at 7:07 p.m. ET. This three-game series between the Cubs and Blue Jays marks an exciting chapter in the 2025 season, with the Cubs currently holding the top NL wild card spot and the Blue Jays boasting a 4.5-game lead on the Boston Red Sox in the AL East.
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] (Sources for betting picks and analysis)
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