Tight Competition Approaching Election Day in the United States

Tight Competition Approaching Election Day in the United States

The 2025 U.S. presidential election campaign is a close race, with the latest polls in Pennsylvania showing a tie: 45:45, 49:49, and 50:50. The stakes are high, as the candidate who secures enough majorities in these key states will move into the White House in January.

Donald Trump and his supporters have been a prime example of a phenomenon known as "calcification," a form of polarization dividing the country into two hostile groups. Interestingly, Trump's support among the people has rarely fallen below 43 percent in any poll, and it has never been above 48 percent.

Kamala Harris, on the other hand, has managed to be neck and neck with Trump in the election campaign. This is largely due to a combination of factors, including her post-debate surge in support and Trump's declining approval ratings among key voter demographics.

A recent Reuters-Ipsos poll shows Harris leading Trump by five points following their first presidential debate, indicating she gained momentum from their direct confrontation. In parallel, Trump's job approval rating has modestly declined overall, from 41% to 38%, with a particularly notable drop among younger voters under 35, where approval has fallen from 90% at the start of his term to 69% currently.

Trump also lost ground among nonvoters, a critical bloc in tight elections, while Harris maintains strong approval from her base. The overall political landscape reflects challenges for Trump and the Republican Party. RealClearPolitics polling suggests Trump’s approval is below 50%, Republican Party favorability is negative, and the Democratic Party and generic congressional ballots show a modest advantage for Democrats as of August 2025.

The debate on Tuesday took place in Pennsylvania, a state with about 750,000 descendants of Polish immigrants, where Trump accused Harris of wanting to ban fracking. Harris countered that Trump wants to sell Ukraine to Russia's President Vladimir Putin and could annex Poland.

The nationalist trade strategy of the USA, criticized in 2017, has been adopted worldwide. The US elections on November 5, 2024, are an important decision for both US citizens and the rest of the world. For further information about the mood, problems, candidates, visions, and outcome of the US election, visit the provided link.

In the end, the entrenched social division in the US is likely to come down to five to eight percent of undecided voters even in these states. The US presidential election campaign is currently experiencing fluctuating percentage points, making every vote count.

1. The migration of undecided voters could significantly impact the final outcome of the 2025 U.S. presidential election.
2. The war-and-conflicts between the two major parties, exacerbated by calcification, have created deep divisions in the country.
3. Policy-and-legislation regarding war-and-conflicts, trade, and immigration have become hot topics in the election campaign.
4. Car-accidents caused by political tensions and rallies can be a concern in such tense times, as seen in previous elections.
5. Politics and general-news channels are flooded with debates, analysis, and predictions about the election race.
6. Crime-and-justice, a crucial issue for voters, has been a topic of discussion in various debates and policy proposals.
7. Accidents and fires during campaigns and rallies are uncommon but a potential risk that needs attention.
8. Sports, such as basketball, WNBA, baseball, hockey, golf, tennis, and auto-racing, are often used to divert attention from the intense political climate.
9. The NCAA-basketball tournaments and MLB games could offer a momentary escape from the election scrutiny.
10. The NHL, NASCAR, and horse-racing events might also experience increased interest due to the election's influence.
11. Weather and weather-forecasting play a role during outdoor events and rallies, affecting both candidates and voters.
12. Sports-betting activities around the election outcomes have been a grey area in previous elections, potentially leading to ethical concerns.
13. Mixed-martial-arts events might serve as an outlet for the nation's heated emotions, reflecting the polarization in the country.
14. The 2025 U.S. presidential election is more than just a domestic issue; it has global implications, affecting policy-and-legislation, trade, and foreign relations.
15. The race to the White House is not just about the candidates but also about the future of the country and the world, making every vote crucial in the grand-prix of democracy.

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