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The viability of establishing a Palestinian state should be maintained

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The importance of upholding the potential for a Palestinian state remains vital.
The importance of upholding the potential for a Palestinian state remains vital.

The viability of establishing a Palestinian state should be maintained

In the heart of the Middle East, the ongoing Palestinian-Israeli conflict continues to shape the region's political landscape. The Editorial Board of Bloomberg Opinion offers an analysis of the current state of affairs and the potential consequences for Israel's long-term security.

Recent developments, such as the expansion of settlements, including in the contested E1 area, and potential annexation of swathes of the West Bank, have sparked international concern. Some experts argue that these moves could be disastrous for Israel's security in the long run, potentially leading to increased instability and conflict.

The international community, particularly Western leaders, are grappling with public outrage over the suffering of ordinary Gazans. Despite this, support for Israel is waning among key allies, notably Democrats and younger Republicans in the United States. This shift in public opinion could have significant implications for Israel's diplomatic and political standing.

One of Israel's most important regional allies, Saudi Arabia, has made it clear that it would not normalize relations absent a credible pathway to a two-state solution. This position underscores the importance of finding a peaceful resolution to the conflict for the stability of the Middle East.

Since October 7, 2023, there have been no publicly available records of any countries engaging in talks with Israel specifically to discuss the establishment of a unified state solution. Instead, the focus remains largely on the two-state solution, with countries like Germany supporting it but highlighting current obstacles and ongoing conflicts.

Recognition of a Palestinian state is not a new concept. It is being used as a tool to persuade Israel to accept a ceasefire in Gaza and to keep alive the possibility of a two-state solution. However, the prospect of voluntary mass departures of Palestinians, or forced expulsion, is met with strong opposition. Such actions would destabilize neighboring countries like Jordan and Egypt and could amount to ethnic cleansing.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has vowed "there will never be a Palestinian state." His stance, shared by more than 70 percent of Jewish Israelis, raises concerns about the potential for Israel to become an apartheid state if it does not grant full citizenship to Palestinians. The 5 million Palestinians within a one-state solution may not be granted full citizenship in Israel, which could fuel an endless insurgency.

Israeli leaders are taking steps to render any such entity unviable in response to the threat of recognition. Outright annexation could lead to sanctions by the EU and others in the West, further isolating Israel and potentially hindering its economic growth.

The United Arab Emirates considers annexation a 'red line,' implying that it could jeopardize its ties with Israel. The Emirates, along with other countries, are threatening to recognize a Palestinian state, a move that could further complicate the already complex situation.

Unquestioned US backing for Israel cannot be assumed under a future administration. This uncertainty adds another layer of complexity to the conflict and emphasizes the need for a peaceful and sustainable solution. Permanently suppressing Palestinian aspirations could fuel an endless insurgency, a reality that Israel must confront to ensure its long-term security and stability.

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