Tennis Forecast for Clash at Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Will Jasmine Paolini Topple Coco Gauff? Betting Analysis and Picks Included
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On Saturday, May 17th, Jasmin Paolini Clash with Coco Gauff at the Italian Open Finals: Breaking Down the Match
It's finals time at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia as Jasmin Paolini squares off against Coco Gauff. While the casual bettor might call this a surefire win for Gauff, think twice—Paolini ain't no jokester. She's been an unstoppable force on the WTA Tour for the past 52 weeks, and as an Italian player competing in Rome, she's got a whole stadium rooting for her to shine.
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Key Stats and Odds
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook accurate as of Friday, May 16th at 1:00 pm ET. Hop around to find the best prices!
Moneyline: Gauff -200, Paolini +160
Spread: Gauff -3.5 Games (-120), Paolini +3.5 Games (-110)
Total: Over 20.5 Games (-120), Under 20.5 Games (-115)
How to Watch Jasmin Paolini vs. Coco Gauff
Location: Foro Italico in Rome, Italy
Date: Saturday, May 17th at 11:00 am ET
Channel: Tennis Channel / Tennis Channel App
Jasmin Paolini vs. Coco Gauff Analysis and Predictions
Paolini took down Gauff in straight sets in a previous match in Stuttgart, so it's clear that she can get the job done when it counts. However, this time it's a major final, and Gauff is coming off a fantastic run of form. The pressure will certainly be mounting on Paolini. She's grabbed a 1000-level title before, but Rome—packed with a bloodthirsty crowd of Italians—is a whole different ball game.
The crowd's energy can be a formidable addition, but it also breeds expectations. Fans expect their home star to deliver, which might lead to some uncomfortable moments for Paolini during the match. But she's tenacious, and her rivalry with Gauff serves her well on the court.
Gauff clearly has her flaws—she's been guilty of 15 double faults in an ugly match and racked up 82 unforced errors in a recent set. For a player like Paolini, who excels at return breaks (51.6% over the last 52 weeks), Gauff's weaknesses present an opportunity to put pressure on her service game.
The question remains: Can Gauff's form hold up, or will Paolini's determination and the crowd behind her be the deciding factors in this battle?
Pick: Grab the value with Paolini +1.5 Sets (-143 - 1.5 units) and a smidge of Paolini ML (+185 - 0.5 units).
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- "Buff up on more tennis predictions on our VSiN picks page— it's basically a treasure trove of pro picks."
- "Moneyline: Gauff -200, Paolini +160"
