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Sunday's Major League Baseball Predictions Derived from Betting Splits, Power Ratings, and Trends

MLB Betting Trends for Sunday, May 4, unveiled by Steve Makinen and the VSiN Analytics squad.

Revised Article:

Welcome to a curated selection of today's top MLB betting trends and systems! Let's get right into it.

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Current record: 14-18
  • Struggling with a 6-game losing streak
  • Facing strong pitching, allowing an average of 5 runs per game during the streak
  • Breaking the skid: 21-4 (84%) on home wins over Colorado with a +11.15 units profit
  • System Match: Pittsburgh Pirates (+120 at St. Louis Cardinals)

Kansas City Royals

  • Record vs. Chicago White Sox: 13-1 (92.9%, +11.95 units)
  • For a strong road win: 11-7 (61.1%, +5.68 units) in their last 18 dispatches
  • Current form: 5-3 over the last week
  • Trend Match: Kansas City Royals (-245 vs. Chicago White Sox)

New York Yankees

  • Post-Tampa Bay Rays series: 25-8 (75.8%, +13.30 units)
  • Excluding games with a +155 or more disadvantage
  • Trend Match: New York Yankees (-155 vs. San Diego Padres)

San Francisco Giants

  • New series on the road: +61.53 units profit ($100 bettor up $6,153) in 3 seasons
  • Combining a win in a game with 6 or more runs scored
  • Teams not priced at +175 or worse
  • System Match: San Francisco Giants (+136 at Chicago Cubs)

Player Props

Carlos Rodon

  • Strong history against the Padres
  • Strikes out key hitters at a high rate
  • 5+ Ks likely: 17 of Rodon's last 24 starts against SD

Aaron Judge

  • Historically dominates Padres starter Nick Pivetta
  • 2+ HRs in 7 of last 16 games against Nick Pivetta
  • Aim for a Judge home run tonight
  • The Dodgers Moneyline at -200 drew 79% of bettor's attention
  • The Royals at -250 secured 79% of bets
  • The Cardinals at -140 received 75% of the action

Bullpen Betting Systems Update

The "Importance of Pitching System" is performing exceptionally well this season, boasting a nearly +20% ROI. This angle highlights teams with both starting and bullpen advantages. Keep an eye on these bullpen-focused systems when devising your wagers.

  1. In the MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the St. Louis Cardinals, the trend suggests betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+120), as they have a system match according to the given trends for May 5, 2025.
  2. For the matchup between the Kansas City Royals and the Chicago White Sox, the trend indicates betting on the Kansas City Royals (-245), as they have a strong record and form against their opponent, with a system match in their favor.
  3. In the game between the New York Yankees and the San Diego Padres, the trend suggests betting on the New York Yankees (-155), as they have a favorable post-series record, with a trend match applicable in this situation.

Additionally, in player prop predictions, the trend indicates that Carlos Rodon is likely to record 5+ strikeouts, given his history against the San Diego Padres, and Aaron Judge may hit a home run against Nick Pivetta due to his dominating history against the opposing pitcher.

MLB Betting Trends for Sunday, May 4, as discussed by Steve Makinen and the VSiN Analytics team.

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