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Struggles in Ottawa Centre and Carleton districts underscore local elections' pursuit in the federal ballot

Examining the federal election fight in Ottawa region, Capital Current scrutinizes significant constituencies: Carleton, a stronghold of Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre, and Ottawa Centre, where the NDP and Liberals are locked in a tight contest.

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Struggles in Ottawa Centre and Carleton districts underscore local elections' pursuit in the federal ballot

Right on, it's crunch time as the federal election nears in Canada's capital! Two weeks until the big day on April 28, and the races are heating up!

Across nine ridings in Ottawa, you can hear the hum of local machines buzzing, and it's all hands on deck – signs in the ground, boots on the pavement, and faces at the doorstep. Some riding boundaries have shifted, and a few have renamed, but essentially six Liberal incumbents are vying for a second term. One notable exception is Chandra Arya who was ruled ineligible by the party following a 2024 meeting in India with Narendra Modi, clearing the path for Mark Carney to run.

In Prescott-Russell-Cumberland, Liberal incumbent Francis Drouin decided not to run, leaving a vacancy for someone to step up and take the reins. The only Conservative seat, Carleton, is mostly rural and represented by Pierre Poilievre, but aspiring Liberal contender Bruce Fanjoy is hoping to make some inroads and close the gap. Poilievre will also face a ballot protest as nearly 80 candidates have registered, most linked to the Longest Ballot Committee who aim for a more representative government.

Let's take a closer look at two of the tightest races – Carleton and the downtown powerhouse of Ottawa Centre.

Ottawa Centre

The competition in Ottawa Centre is fierce, with many well-known names among the candidates. Incumbent Yasir Naqvi, who won the seat by nearly 10,000 votes in 2021, faces stiff opposition from Joel Harden, a prominent Ottawa politician. Harden famously defeated Naqvi in the 2018 Ontario election, and former city councillor Catherine McKenney won the seat for the NDP by nearly 20,000 votes over their Liberal rival in the Feb. 2022 Ontario election. Rounding out the main candidates are Paul d'Orsonnens for the Conservatives and Amanda Rosenstock for the Greens.

With a short election period, Joel Harden's campaign manager, Sam Hersh, is pushing ahead. They have been canvassing extensively, knocking on at least 25,000 doors so far. The issues at the door vary greatly depending on neighborhoods, with more affluent areas discussing trade policies and fear of Donald Trump, while other areas focus primarily on affordability, particularly groceries.

Hersh feels that the Liberals have wrapped themselves in the flag during the election and aims for Harden's team to focus on more local issues at the door. The team is hopeful that voters will respond to their message of focusing on workers, public healthcare, and public services and reject the corporate class narrative put forward by the Liberals. Despite national polling numbers that work against many local candidates, Hersh remains optimistic about their chances.

Carleton

This riding includes Manotick, Stittsville, Metcalfe, Carp, and Richmond, making it an uphill battle for Liberal hopeful Bruce Fanjoy to dethrone incumbent Pierre Poilievre. Poilievre has represented Carleton since its creation in 2015 and earned the support of many by previously serving as MP for Nepean-Carleton from 2004 to 2015.

Fanjoy, a former businessman, stay-at-home parent, and community volunteer, has thrown his hat into the ring. His commitment to environmental sustainability, as demonstrated by his climate-friendly "Millview House" in Manotick, is a distinguishing factor in this race. Fanjoy believes that his unique qualifications make him the best candidate to address the climate crisis, a pressing issue for voters in the riding.

Despite the challenges ahead, Fanjoy feels that there is a growing opposition to Poilievre among disgruntled voters looking for change. As advance voting begins on April 18, voters in both Carleton and Ottawa Centre, as well as across the country, eagerly await the election results.

  1. The federal election is approaching in Canada's capital, with two weeks left until April 28.
  2. Nine ridings in Ottawa are seeing a flurry of political activity.
  3. Six Liberal incumbents are vying for a second term, with one exception being Chandra Arya, who was ruled ineligible by the party.
  4. Mark Carney is running in Arya's vacated seat.
  5. Francis Drouin, the Liberal incumbent in Prescott-Russell-Cumberland, is not seeking reelection, leaving a vacancy.
  6. Pierre Poilievre, the Conservative incumbent in Carleton, is facing a challenge from aspiring Liberal contender Bruce Fanjoy.
  7. Poilievre's seat is mostly rural, but Fanjoy hopes to close the gap.
  8. Nearly 80 candidates have registered in Carleton, most linked to the Longest Ballot Committee.
  9. Defeating Naqvi in the 2018 Ontario election, Joel Harden is challenging him again in Ottawa Centre.
  10. Harden is a prominent Ottawa politician and is being actively supported by his campaign manager, Sam Hersh.
  11. Hersh has been canvassing extensively, knocking on at least 25,000 doors.
  12. Affordability, particularly the cost of groceries, is a primary concern in some neighborhoods in Ottawa Centre.
  13. Hersh feels that the Liberals have prioritized national issues, while Harden's team focuses on local issues.
  14. Hersh is hopeful that voters will respond to their message of focusing on workers, public healthcare, and public services.
  15. Despite national polling numbers working against many local candidates, Hersh remains optimistic about their chances.
  16. Bruce Fanjoy is challenging Pierre Poilievre in the riding of Carleton.
  17. Fanjoy's commitment to environmental sustainability sets him apart in this race.
  18. Fanjoy believes his unique qualifications make him the best candidate to address the climate crisis.
  19. This election announces the start of the political season, with general news, policy-and-legislation, crime-and-justice, car-accidents, and fires occupying headlines.
  20. Sports, such as football, baseball, hockey, golf, sports-betting, European leagues, basketball, NCAABasketball, MLB, NHL, racing, premier-league, NBA, Masters, grand-prix, horse-racing, tennis, sports-analysis, auto-racing, and mixed-martial-arts, also dominate conversations.
  21. With war-and-conflicts and Chandra Arya's withdrawal, the race for seats in Ottawa's ridings has become a significant test for AI in predicting political outcomes.
In an examination of the federal election campaign in Ottawa, Capital Current scrutinized two significant ridings: Carleton, with Tory leader Pierre Poilievre as the incumbent, and Ottawa Centre where the NDP and Liberals are engaged in a tight race.

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