Skip to content

Strange Leak Stirs Worry About Afghan Irrigation Initiative

Uzbekistan pursuing silent, strategic water politics?

Engaging in Stealthy Foreign Policy through Hidden Water Negotiations: Uzbekistan's Strategy
Engaging in Stealthy Foreign Policy through Hidden Water Negotiations: Uzbekistan's Strategy

Strange Leak Stirs Worry About Afghan Irrigation Initiative

Here's the skinny on the mysterious spill that's giving the folks in Central Asia a whiff of unease about the construction of the Qosh Tepa canal in Afghanistan. The Taliban lads are all set to go ahead with the project, promising it'll be a lifeline for millions of Afghans facing food insecurity. But it ain't all sunshine and roses for Afghanistan's neighbors, who see this bad boy as an environmental nightmare.

Let's rewind to spring 2022. Construction on the canal kicked off, and by late February, phase two was already in full swing. According to Taliban officials, when this baby's done, the Qosh Tepa canal will divert water from the Amu Darya River to irrigate northern Afghan provinces — a move predicted to trigger a "green revolution" and create tons of jobs by some Afghan economist fella named Qutbudin Yaqubi.

But whisper it: Central Asia isn't exactly smiling. The region has been fanning fears about the canal's quality, especially after satellite images from the end of 2023 revealed a 30-meter section of the canal had sprung a leak, draining off a substantial amount of water for over a month. Some reckon it could've been an accident, poor engineering, or possibly sabotage, but there's no conclusive evidence.

In 2023, it was the environmental watchdog group Rivers Without Boundaries that blew the lid on the leak. By analyzing satellite imagery, they claimed the spill was caused by structural flaws in the canal's design. Interestingly, the first 100-kilometer stretch of the canal was already filling up with Amu Darya water just weeks before the spill hit in early November. The Taliban maintained it was a controlled event meant to manage groundwater levels. But many ignored their explanation.

Uzbek officials added fuel to the flames with their topsy-turvy report. They noted an increase in groundwater due to canal excavation and acknowledged the leak but then contradicted themselves by suggesting the escaped water didn't come from the Amu Darya. In the end, Uzbekkosmos' convoluted account aligned with the Taliban, claiming it was a planned seepage-diversion operation.

Even more troubling, an assessment by the Central Asian Bureau for Analytical Reporting raised serious doubts about the canal's construction quality, stating the methods were too rudimentary and posed a risk of significant water loss due to seepage into the dry soil. "Not a great look," as some might put it.

With the canal slated to complete by 2028, experts worry it could create problems for Central Asia's already stretched water-management system. The diversion of Amu Darya water could have adverse effects on Uzbekistan's cotton industry and Kazakhstan's Aral Sea restoration efforts.

To top it all off, the Uzbek President, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, raised the alarm at a regional meeting in September, stating the water shortage problem in Central Asia was becoming critical and would worsen. He further warned that the completion of Qosh Tepa could radically alter the water regime and balance in Central Asia, and called for Afghanistan to participate in "regional dialogue on the joint use of water."

So yeah, it's a bit of a mess really. The current state of play suggests the Qosh Tepa canal may be more curse than blessing for Central Asia. Time will tell, but one thing's for sure: folks should keep a close eye on this one.

  • The Qosh Tepa canal, a project by the Taliban in Afghanistan, has sparked concerns about its environmental impact in Central Asia.
  • According to environmental watchdog groups, the spilling of water from the canal is due to structural flaws in its design.
  • Some experts fear that the completion of the Qosh Tepa canal in 2028 could create problems for Central Asia's already strained water-management system.
  • The diversion of water from the Amu Darya River could negatively affect Uzbekistan's cotton industry and Kazakhstan's Aral Sea restoration efforts.
  • Politicians and environmentalists are urging for a regional dialogue on the joint use of water to prevent any adverse effects on the region's ecology and economy.

Read also:

Latest