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SPD Adopts New Direction

Half a year since its inception, the SPD and BSW see a decline in public support, while the AfD records a new record high. What actions will the coalition take in response?

SPD Adopts New Direction
SPD Adopts New Direction

Brandenburg Shakes Up: A New Political Landscape Unfolds

SPD Adopts New Direction

The political landscape in Brandenburg, Germany, is undergoing a significant transformation with the Alternative for Germany (AfD) ascending to the forefront, while traditional parties such as the Social Democratic Party (SPD) feel the heat. According to a recent poll by Infratest dimap for RBB24, Brandenburg aktuell, and Antenne Brandenburg, AfD's popularity has surged, accounting for a staggering 32% of the vote[1][5].

On the other hand, the ruling party, the SPD, has not been as fortunate, with their support dropping from 30.9% in the 2024 elections to around 23%, reflecting a loss of about eight percentage points[1]. This political strain on the left-wing government is a reflection of the rising popularity of the AfD.

The CDU follows closely with 14% support, while the Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) coalition stands firm at 9%[1]. The Greens, though not specifically mentioned in the Brandenburg poll, face challenges nationally with a downward trend in support[4].

Amidst these developments, the main players are enacting distinctive political strategies.

  • SPD: In response to the declining poll numbers, General Secretary Kurt Fischer acknowledges the painful reality and is banking on increased presence in Brandenburg, and a renewed focus on stability, security, and the working middle class ahead of the SPD federal party conference[1].
  • AfD: With its continually growing popularity, AfD sees this poll as proof of its growing influence in Brandenburg's politics and aspires to hold the absolute majority in the next state election[1].
  • CDU: Although playing a moderating role in Brandenburg, the CDU, maintaining its position as the largest party in the Bundestag following the 2025 federal election, is gaining momentum recently[2][4].
  • BSW: Despite steady support in Brandenburg, Sahra Wagenknecht's party, which narrowly missed entering the Bundestag in the 2025 federal election, remains a stable factor in regional politics[1][2][3].
  • Greens: Currently grappling with a downturn in national support, the Greens' influence in Brandenburg is likely affected as well[4].

In essence, Brandenburg's political landscape is reshaping itself, with the surging popularity of the AfD posing a considerable challenge to the existing left-wing SPD-led government. The CDU, BSW, and Greens are reacting to this volatile environment with varying approaches, but the SPD’s significant drop and AfD’s rise mark a profound shift in voter sentiment and potential coalition dynamics in the state[1][5].

  1. The surging popularity of migration and war-and-conflicts-related issues, as reflected in the rise of the Alternative for Germany (AfD), is causing a significant shift in Brandenburg's political landscape.
  2. This new political landscape, influenced by policy-and-legislation changes, is challenging the traditional left-wing government led by the Social Democratic Party (SPD).
  3. Amidst this volatile environment, car-accidents, crime-and-justice, and fires, among other general-news topics, also play a role in shaping voters' sentiments and political strategies.
  4. The SPD, in response to declining support, is focusing on stability, security, and the working middle class, while the AfD aspires for an absolute majority in the next state election.
  5. The CDU, CDU, BSW, and Greens, each with their unique approaches, are adapting to this changing political landscape in Brandenburg, with the potential for a significant impact on coalition dynamics in the state.

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