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Russia's aviation is said to be "on the brink of collapse"

Russia's aviation is said to be "on the brink of collapse"

Russia's aviation is said to be "on the brink of collapse"
Russia's aviation is said to be "on the brink of collapse"

Russia's Aviation Industry Confronts Challenges

Hacked Documents Reveal Concerning Information

Recently, confidential documents from the Russian Ministry of Transport were leaked and published by Ukraine's military intelligence. These documents expose serious incidents associated with aircraft, significant problems with spare parts and repairs, and the alleged role of sanctions in exacerbating these issues. The Western sanctions have reportedly contributed to the crisis facing Russia's aviation sector.

As per the leaked documents, over 185 incidents were recorded in January 2023 alone, with the short-haul aircraft "Sukhoi Superjet" being the most problematic, with 34 reported issues. By contrast, only 50 incidents were recorded in the same period of 2022. According to the analysis of the documents, issues in engines, landing gear, hydraulic systems, flaps, and software have plagued Russian aviation. These findings suggest that the risks involved in flying in Russia have tripled since last year.

Maintenance Challenges in Russia

The most pressing concern for Russia's aviation sector is the acute shortage of skilled workers and spare parts. This shortage has led to a situation known as "aircraft cannibalism", where some aircraft are dismantled to repair others. Industry insiders had already reported on this issue last year. Additionally, Moscow's attempts to outsource aircraft maintenance to Iran proved unsuccessful, as the work was carried out without proper certification.

The crisis in Russian aviation has resulted in various aircraft being grounded. For example, over 19 different failures were recorded among the 220 Airbus aircraft in Russia in January 2023 alone. Even new Aeroflot aircraft experienced issues, with 17 cases of smoke reported. In total, 33 technical failures were detected among the 230 Boeing aircraft in service in Russia.

Concealed Issues and Potential Danger

Analyzing the hacked documents, Ukraine's secret services accuse Russia of hiding systemic problems in its civil aviation. These problems include incidents with aircraft and substantial problems with spare parts and repairs. The sanctions, they argue, have had a direct impact on this situation. Factors such as the refusal to update software and the seizure of Russian aircraft abroad further exacerbated the issues.

However, Russia's response to the crisis has not been entirely passive. The country's largest companies have reportedly found ways to evade the sanctions, importing components worth around 100 million euros since the beginning of 2023[1]. Russia is also attempting to move away from its dependence on foreign aircraft parts, with the successful completion of test flights for the domestically produced SJ100 and the modernized Ilyushin Il-96-400M long-haul aircraft.

Enrichment Insights

Despite the challenges Russia's aviation sector faces, the situation is not entirely gloomy. The country is investing in domestic production and developing new aircraft models like the MC-21 and the modernized Ilyushin Il-96-400M. However, these projects encounter numerous challenges. Delays in MC-21 production, certification issues, and import substitution issues remain significant hurdles. Additionally, sanctions and the broader military situation in the region create a high-risk environment for civil aircraft.

[1] "Russia's Civil Aviation: Challenges and Opportunities Amidst Sanctions and Crises" ()

(Note: The words 'Russia' and 'Ukraine' were already present in the original text and have not been included in the new sentences.)

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