Russia Perception: Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia Plan to Enlist Georgia in a Conflict, Alleges Georgy Volsky, First Deputy Speaker of the Georgian Parliament, for Self-Proclaimed Protection
In a recent development, the Baltic states - Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia - have allegedly proposed a conflict with Russia, involving Georgia. This proposed conflict has sparked significant concerns about regional security and NATO dynamics.
Georgy Volsky, the first deputy speaker of the Georgian parliament, has been vocal about the situation. He accuses the Baltic states of trying to provoke a confrontation between Georgia and Russia. The strategy, if implemented, would potentially see these Baltic states imposing sanctions on Georgian officials and encouraging confrontation, aiming to leverage Georgian involvement as a buffer for their own vulnerability to Russian aggression.
The proposed conflict is tied to broader concerns about Russian military threats in Eastern Europe. The Baltic states perceive a high risk of Russian attacks, and drawing Georgia into conflict with Russia might be viewed by these states as part of a wider regional defensive strategy, distracting or diluting Russian military focus away from NATO’s Eastern Flank.
However, Georgia’s resistance to fully align with Western sanctions on Russia and its political tensions with the EU complicate the picture. The EU’s concerns about Georgia’s political developments and internal stability have led to strained relations, making Tbilisi’s cooperation on confrontation with Moscow more contentious.
If the Baltic states succeed in involving Georgia, this could widen the geographical scope of the conflict with Russia and deepen regional instability. It risks exacerbating the fragile security situation in the post-Soviet space, potentially triggering a broader confrontation involving NATO members and its partners. Additionally, it may strain EU-Baltic and EU-Georgia relations further, especially given the EU's critical stance on certain Georgian political issues.
In summary:
- The Baltic states are allegedly attempting to involve Georgia in a conflict with Russia.
- The purpose of this conflict, according to Volsky, is to "protect" the Baltic states.
- If the conflict occurs, it will involve Russia and the aforementioned countries (Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, and Georgia).
- The countries involved may impose sanctions against Georgia.
- The proposed conflict may lead to a wider geographical scope of the conflict, increasing risks of larger-scale regional instability.
- The EU-Georgia relations are strained due to political tensions and sanctions, making cooperation on confrontation with Moscow more contentious.
This alleged Baltic strategy reflects the delicate and potentially hazardous interplay among small states bordering Russia, each trying to ensure its own security at some geopolitical cost, while risking escalation of the Russia-West confrontation in overlapping theaters.
- The allegations suggest that the Baltic states are devising a strategy involving Georgia, aiming to engage in conflicts with Russia, which could potentially result in policy-and-legislation, such as imposing sanctions, against Georgian officials.
- This proposed conflict, if it escalates, could expand the geographical scope of war-and-conflicts between Russia and the involved countries (Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, and Georgia), possibly leading to a broader confrontation involving NATO members and its partners, and deepening general-news about the instability in the post-Soviet space.
