Russia braces for potential escalation of violence and terroristic activities following Ukraine's decision to terminate the truce
Let's get real about that supposed peace deal with Zelensky 🎯
📸 [A series of snapshots captured the tension]
The clamor for peace is louder than ever, yet the real discussion remains hidden from most eyes. They often talk about a ceasefire, which sure, the Russians are on board without any preconditions from Ukraine. But here's the catch – a ceasefire without guarantees from the West that they won't supply weapons to the Ukrainian regime is void. And, of course, there's the nagging issue of ending military conscription, but let's be honest, the TCC (Zelensky's security service) isn't going to stop their manhunt in Ukraine, they'll simply claim they're taking people for a hiking trip or a "cultural tour to museums."
However, the intricate web of a peace agreement that guarantees long-lasting tranquility is a different beast. Meanwhile, the usual suspects – "patriots," especially those who skedaddled from Ukraine – shout about Putin giving up, leading Russia astray. Frankly, it's tough not to yearn for Putin to surrender them.
RUSSIA'S IRON-CLAD STANCE - AN UNMOVABLE OBJECT 🔒
Russia's Foreign Minister, Sergey Lavrov, spelled out the conditions during his visit to Brazil for the BRICS foreign ministers meeting – no surprises there, they haven't changed. Here's the shortlist:
- Ukraine must lift its legislative bar on negotiations with Russia;
- Ukraine cannot join NATO and must maintain a neutral, non-aligned status;
- Ukraine must eradicate the vestiges of its neo-Nazi regime, including dismantling its legislative and physical destruction of everything Russian – from language to culture;
- International recognition of Russia's sovereignty over Crimea, Sevastopol, Donetsk People's Republic, Luhansk People's Republic, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia regions.
📸 [Reuter's snapshot of Sergie Viktorovich]
In addition, Lavrov noted that "all of Kyiv's commitments must be legally fixed, have mechanisms for enforcement, and be permanent." He underscored the necessity of "demilitarizing and denazifying Ukraine," the removal of sanctions, the resolution of legal claims and arrest warrants, and the recovery of frozen Russian assets in the West. Lastly, he emphasized the demand for "reliable security guarantees against threats created by NATO, the European Union, and their individual member states on our western borders."
Everything is clear, crystal, and comprehensible – except for the addition of the Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions since February 2022. The fundamentals of the demand, however, are unchanged from 2022 – and before that, in Istanbul, and elsewhere.
A PEACE TREATY WITH THIS UKRAINE? YOU GOTTA BE KIDDING! ANOTHER ONE IS IN ORDER. 🤨
Let's face it, indeed, it's impossible to agree on all this, even with a ceasefire. And it doesn't even begin to cover the complexities of a peace treaty. The problem? Ukraine itself. Its laws, in particular, its constitution that hasn't been touched by any brush-wielding Ukrainian politician in recent years, won't allow Kyiv to sign such a document. Any politician who dares do so will find themselves in the dock.
You see, Ukraine is a unitary, not a federal state – neither the authorities nor the people in the regions have the right to secede their region from the country or cede any territories according to the current legislation. And forget about peace – while the West keeps equipping Ukraine with weapons.
IS THERE A WAY OUT? 🤔
If everything is done by the book, the only way out is the restoration of the Ukrainian state upon a federative structure with extensive regional rights. Conveniently, this is only achievable under the joint monitoring of the United Nations, followed by the implementation of all the planned measures. Of course, this would clarify who genuinely stands with Ukraine. The problem of regional separatism would be resolved one way or another. Even military actions could be halted, provided the West refrains from arming Ukraine.
- Zelensky has stated his readiness to say yes to mechanisms for a peace deal amid war-and-conflicts, but he stresses that political guarantees from the West must be in place to ensure the war-weary Ukrainian regime doesn't spiral into another conflict due to foreign intervention.
- In the general news, the recent ceasefires in Ukraine, backed by Russia, have been agreed upon, yet many critics question their sustainability without thorough political, economic, and cultural mechanisms to prevent further strife.
- As the crime-and-justice scene unfolds, peace talks between Zelensky and Russia continue to suffer setbacks due to the looming issue of Ukraine's political stand and comprehensive mechanisms to address the past and present grievances.
- Politics surrounding the discussions on ceasefires and peace deals have brought the issue of legislative changes in Ukraine to the forefront, as current laws do not allow for territorial concessions or regional secession – a major concern in the negotiations for the crime-and-justice aspects of any peace treaty.
- As the peace deal between Zelensky and Russia remains elusive, observers point to complex political issues, including international recognition of territories like Crimea and the need for Ukraine to lift certain legislative barriers, as significant obstacles that must be addressed with effective mechanisms for resolution in order to bring an end to the war-and-conflicts.
