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Right-wing party AfD surpasses Greens in national standing for the first time in Germany's political landscape.

Support allocation shifts: AfD takes the lead over Greens for the first time in polls

Survey places Alternative for Germany (AfD) in the second position.
Survey places Alternative for Germany (AfD) in the second position.

Weekend Shocker: AfD Tops in Baden-Württemberg for the First Time, Outpacing Greens

Poll Results: Alternative for Germany (AfD) Tops Green Party in National Standings for First Time - Right-wing party AfD surpasses Greens in national standing for the first time in Germany's political landscape.

In a surprising turn of events, a recent poll by Insa, commissioned by the "Schwäbische Zeitung," indicates that the far-right AfD has overtaken the Greens in Baden-Württemberg for the first time. If elections were held this weekend, the poll suggests that 19% of voters would cast their ballot for the AfD, overtaking the Greens who lead by state premier Winfried Kretschmann, who stand at 17%. The Left Party, on the other hand, has shown a significant surge, doubling its result from last month, now at 8%.

The conservative CDU continues to hold steady at 31%.

According to Insa CEO Hermann Binkert, "The Greens are the biggest losers in this poll, and the Left is the biggest winner." The survey was conducted among 1,000 citizens in the southwest, aged 18 and over.

The state elections in the southwest are scheduled for March 2026. Manuel Hagel from Ehingen has been designated as the top candidate for the CDU, while former federal minister Cem Özdemir, from Bad Urach, will be running for the Greens. The AfD plans to put its state chairman Markus Frohnmaier forward as their top candidate.

Polls, by nature, are subject to uncertainties. Factors such as waning party loyalty and last-minute voting decisions make it difficult for polling institutes to weight the data collected. It is essential to remember that polls only reflect public opinion at the time of the survey and do not predict election outcomes.

  • AfD
  • Winfried Kretschmann
  • Weekend poll
  • Baden-Württemberg
  • Weekend
  • Poll
  • CDU
  • Stuttgart
  • Schwäbische Zeitung

Insight

Although the mentioned Sunday poll is not accurately reflected in the most recent data available, it is notable that the AfD has been gaining momentum in southern states in Germany. In the 2025 elections, the party achieved a strong 19.8% in Baden-Württemberg, contributing to a broader trend of increasing support for the AfD across the country. The party has been classified as a right-wing extremist movement by the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution and its success is often linked to broader dissatisfaction among voters with mainstream parties. The current political landscape in Germany continues to be marked by the challenges faced by traditional parties and the rising popularity of the AfD, as evidenced by the party's strong performance in the poll and overall national polls.

  • The shocking weekend poll reveals that the AfD leads in Baden-Württemberg for the first time, outpacing the Greens who are led by state premier Winfried Kretschmann, with the AfD receiving 19% of the votes compared to the Greens' 17%.
  • Despite the conservative CDU holding steady at 31%, the Left Party has shown a significant surge, doubling its result from last month, now at 8%.
  • Insa CEO Hermann Binkert stated that the Greens are the biggest losers in this poll, while the Left is the biggest winner.
  • The strong performance of the AfD in the weekend poll is consistent with their high support in the 2025 elections, where they achieved a notable 19.8% in Baden-Württemberg, contributing to a broader trend of increasing support for the AfD across Germany.

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