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German Political Landscape Shows Shifts as AfD Gains Momentum
In the ever-evolving world of German politics, the latest polls reveal significant changes in party support as we approach the midpoint of August 2025. The Christian Democratic Union (CDU/CSU) remains the strongest force, but the Alternative for Germany (AfD) is making a notable surge.
According to the INSA poll for "Bild am Sonntag", the AfD has reached a new high of 25% approval, a marked increase from the previous week. This is the first time the AfD has been at 25% since mid-May. Other polling institutes have also reported the AfD at 25%, while some put it slightly lower.
The CDU/CSU, currently leading the coalition government, has seen a slight decline in support, with 27% approval. This represents a 1.5 point drop compared to the last election. The party's leadership, under Friedrich Merz, has been rated poorly by many voters.
The Social Democratic Party (SPD), currently governing in coalition with the CDU/CSU, has maintained 15% approval. However, the party has seen a decline in support compared to the last election, with some polls showing a drop of 3.4 points.
The Greens have maintained 11% approval, a slight decrease from earlier in 2025. The Left party has held steady at 10%.
The BSW and FDP are still below the threshold for entering the Bundestag, with 4% and 3% approval respectively. However, the BSW, led by Sahra Wagenknecht, has seen a rise in support compared to the general trend.
The accuracy of these polls may be compromised by factors such as declining party loyalty and last-minute voting decisions. Polling institutes find it challenging to weight the data collected due to these factors.
The AfD's rise in popularity has been significant, with several polls showing it gaining the most since the last federal election. If the trend continues, the AfD could potentially overtake the CDU/CSU, marking a shift towards the right in German politics.
The CDU/CSU coalition government, led by Friedrich Merz, may be losing its grip, with government seats in parliament near or below 47%, risking losing majority control. Public dissatisfaction with Merz's leadership is high, with only 32% rating his leadership as "good" and 59% expecting Germany’s economic future to worsen.
Other parties like the Greens, Left, BSW, and FDP remain in the single digits or low double digits, with some shifts but no dramatic moves as yet.
The political landscape in Germany as of early August 2025 is characterized by a competitive right-wing surge led by AfD closely matching the CDU/CSU bloc, a weakened center-left SPD, and smaller parties competing for influence around 3-11% support. The potential instability in coalition government majorities adds an interesting dynamic to the current political climate.
Sources: - INSA poll (Aug 1, 2025) - Infratest dimap poll (Aug 6, 2025) - Forsa poll (late July - Aug 4, 2025) - Earlier 2025 polls and political analysis for background - The accuracy of polls relies on their ability to reflect the current public opinion at the time of the survey.
Policy-and-legislation discussions in German politics are escalating due to the significant rise in popularity of the Alternative for Germany (AfD), as revealed in multiple polls this early August 2025. Other parties like the Greens, Left, BSW, and FDP are also part of these discourses, as they attempt to maintain or increase their influence in the shifting political landscape. The surge in support for the AfD, which has reached as high as 25%, according to some polls, could potentially lead to significant policy changes and a shift towards the right in German politics.
