Real-time coverage of Bavaria's election, featuring the latest news from cities like Munich and Berlin
The political landscape in Bavaria is undergoing significant changes, as the dominant Christian Social Union (CSU) and Social Democratic Party (SPD) are predicted to face historic defeats according to polls. These predictions are based on broader trends within the German political landscape.
In recent years, the CDU/CSU bloc, which includes the CSU, has suffered setbacks nationally. CDU/CSU polling ranges between about 24% and 28.6% in federal-level polls and elections in 2025. The CSU, while traditionally dominant in Bavarian state politics, has faced challenges to its dominance.
One factor influencing Bavarian elections is the rise of the Alternative for Germany (AfD), a far-right party. AfD has seen dramatic gains across Germany, with strong poll positions nationally in 2025. While its increase in vote share is more prominent in Eastern Germany, it may still have an impact on Bavarian elections.
The SPD and Greens, traditional competitors, currently rate lower nationally. Their influence in Bavaria remains more limited compared to the CDU/CSU. A newer left-wing party, BSW, polls below the 5% threshold and is unlikely to be a major factor in Bavaria’s 2025 state election.
The CSU's historic political dominance in Bavaria, where it has governed mostly alone or as senior coalition partner for decades, is being challenged by increased right-wing competition (AfD) and changing voter preferences, reflecting broader national trends of political fragmentation and dissatisfaction with traditional parties.
On Sunday, October 14, elections will take place in Bavaria for the new state parliament. The CSU is likely to remain the largest party but with a reduced share compared to historical highs, possibly around mid-to-high 30s percentage range. AfD could increase its share significantly, potentially becoming the second or strong third party, although it is unclear if it will surpass CSU in Bavaria. The Greens may further strengthen, capitalizing on environmental issues, but probably won't overtake the CSU. SPD will likely stay in third or fourth place with modest support. Smaller or newer parties such as BSW and FDP are expected to remain below the 5% threshold but may influence coalition dynamics if they pass it.
In other news, a tragic incident occurred in Munich, where a man using a forklift during demolition work fell six meters and died from his injuries. Elsewhere, a 14-year-old cyclist died in an accident involving a tractor near Niedermurach, with police investigating the circumstances. An unknown object discovered on the Airbus premises has prompted a police response.
Meanwhile, a popular destination in Sulzbach-Rosenberg is the beer garden run by Ruth and Rita Jungbauer. The Kreuzwirt beer garden is known for its 100-year-old fruit trees and aroma of roast pork and grilled meat. The Erlbach stream flows near the Kreuzwirt beer garden.
A video of a high-speed car drift at Amberg roundabout is currently trending online, but no information regarding accidents or injuries has been provided. No specific predictions for the upcoming Bavarian state parliament election results are currently available, but the historic trend shows Bavaria’s traditionally conservative dominance is challenged by rising right-wing populism and environmental politics, suggesting a more fragmented state parliament after the upcoming election. If specifics about Bavaria’s election results become available closer to the voting date, they will provide a stronger basis for definitive predictions.
In the upcoming Bavarian state parliament election, general-news sources predict a possible decline in the political dominance of the CSU, with other parties such as the Alternative for Germany (AfD) gaining traction and challenging the traditional power structure, reflecting broader trends within German politics. Meanwhile, outside of politics, a video of a high-speed car drift at Amberg roundabout is currently trending online, but specific predictions about the election results are not yet available.
