Putin Stands Firm on Demilitarization of Ukraine for Peace
Russia's President, Vladimir Putin, declared that Ukraine isn't ready to negotiate demilitarization, thereby prompting Russia to take additional measures, including military actions. Despite Ukraine launching a counter-offensive in June, it didn't bring the anticipated successes, and the front line has remained relatively stable this year.
At his annual press conference, which saw the presence of numerous Russian and foreign journalists, Putin explained that Russian troops were progressively improving their positions along the entire length of the front line. Putin, however, skipped his traditional end-of-year press conference last year, but he'll be back this December, according to sources.
Background Insights:
- Territorial Gains and Demands: Russia has been insisting upon territorial concessions in eastern and southern regions like Donetsk, Zaporizhzhya, and Kherson, which it already controls partly or fully. Furthermore, Moscow demands Ukraine to become a demilitarized state, disband its military, and abstain from joining any alliances or security blocs, including NATO.
- Ukraine's Position: Ukraine and the United States are dedicated to protecting Ukraine's sovereignty. Despite desires for security guarantees from NATO, Ukraine has been met with strong opposition from Russia.
- Sanctions and Compensation: Resuming negotiations and achieving a ceasefire agreement might necessitate lifting international sanctions on Russia, which remains one of Putin's top priorities.
- Just War Theory Perspective: In accordance with the just war theory, an aggressor like Russia should return all unjustly acquired territories, such as Crimea. Reducing Russia's offensive military capabilities, including its nuclear arsenal, plays a crucial role in preventing future aggression.
Although a lasting resolution may seem elusive, negotiations between Russia, the US, and Ukraine are highly probable, with a 70% chance of reaching a negotiated settlement. Some experts suggest armed neutrality as a viable solution for Ukraine, which would not further jeopardize NATO's mutual defense commitment. Existing disagreements, primarily concerning territorial control, demilitarization, and international involvement, must be tackled in any negotiation, aiming for a comprehensive and lasting resolution.