Prolonged Heat Wave in Belarus: Predicted Duration of Temperatures Up to 30°C
Forecast for Belarus: Cooler June, Warmer July, and a Heatwave on August 14
Belarus has experienced a shift in its summer temperatures this year, with June being cooler by 0.4°C compared to the norm, and July warmer. However, the heatwave is set to return on August 14, with temperatures expected to rise across the country.
On this day, the highest temperature recorded will be in Brest, reaching 34.5°C. The Grodno region will also see temperatures of 28°C, marking the beginning of the heatwave. In the southwestern regions, temperatures will be slightly lower, reaching up to 17°C.
The heatwave will persist for a day, as temperatures in most regions of Belarus will remain between 22°C to 25°C on August 14. The Brest region, however, is forecasted to reach 30°C. The nighttime low on August 14 will be 8°C.
Looking ahead to the next five days, Belarus will experience variable cloudiness with light rain mainly on Sunday, Monday, and Wednesday. Temperatures will fluctuate between about 17 °C to 25 °C, cooling somewhat after Saturday and then warming again midweek. Precipitation will be light rather than heavy rain or storms, signaling moderate autumnal weather changes.
In Minsk and other parts of Belarus, temperatures will generally range daily from lows near 10–13 °C at night to highs around 21–24 °C during the day. The early week looks mostly clear or partly cloudy with mild winds from the west or northwest. No significant heavy precipitation is forecast for Minsk specifically over the next 5 days.
It's worth noting that Belarus is warming faster than the global average, with the air temperature increasing by 0.4°C every 10 years, compared to the global average of 0.1-0.3°C. This trend is particularly noticeable during winter and early spring.
On August 16, temperatures will remain high, reaching 23°C to 29°C. Up to 32°C can be expected in the south of Belarus on this day. Brief showers and thunderstorms are expected in most regions of Belarus on August 16. Overnight lows on August 16 will range from 9°C to 16°C.
Elena Komarovsky, a leading engineer and meteorologist, reports this warming trend in Belarus. The lowest temperature recorded this summer was in Malorita at 3.9°C.
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Scientific data indicates that Belarus is experiencing climate-change, with air temperatures increasing faster than the global average, particularly during winter and early spring. This week's forecast predicts a heatwave on August 14, coinciding with an rise in weather temperatures across the country. The environmental-science implications of such changes warrant closer observation and study.