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Projected NBA Highlights: Predictions Based on Wagering Indexes, Power Valuations, and Trends for May 9th

NBA Betting Trends to Keep in Mind for May 9: Suggestions from Steve Makinen and the VSiN Analytics Squad

,   and  ASMedia
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NBA Betting Insights Unveiled by Steve Makinen and VSiN Analytics Team for May 9th
NBA Betting Insights Unveiled by Steve Makinen and VSiN Analytics Team for May 9th

Today's NBA Picks:

Here's a look at the betting trends and strategies for the Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets games on May 9, 2025.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers

Line: Cavaliers -4.5 (-112), Pacers +4.5 (-102)Money Line: Cavaliers -195, Pacers +165Total: 229.5 (-104 O, -110 U)

The Cavaliers have been on a roll, but the Pacers have shown strong offensive ability recently, so the trend is favoring an over 229.5 total points.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Line: Thunder -5.5 (-110), Nuggets +5.5 (-104)Money Line: Thunder -230, Nuggets +195Total: 232.5 (-107 O, -107 U)

The Thunder are currently on a 9-1 SU run, and their strong offensive performance could lead to a high-scoring first half. Thunder vs Nuggets over 116 1H seems like a solid pick.

Injury Report

  • Cavaliers: Darius Garland, De'Andre Hunter, and Evan Mobley are game-time decisions.
  • Pacers: Isaiah Jackson is out for the season.

Betting Systems

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2:

When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this "super" majority group has gone 616-546 ATS (53%) over the last 2 seasons. System Matches (PLAY ALL): Cavaliers, Thunder

DK NBA Betting Splits system #10:

Majority handle money line wagerers have struggled in the last 2 playoff seasons, with handle majorities going 97-76 for -33.6 units and a ROI of -19.4%. System Matches (FADE ALL): Cavaliers ML, Thunder ML

AI's Takes of the Day - DK Betting Splits system #2:

Cleveland (-4.5 at IND) with DK Betting Splits system #2, multiple playoff trends, and recent head-to-head trend favoring the Cavaliers.

  • Second round teams coming off a same series game in which they scored 127+ points are just 6-10 SU and 4-12 ATS (25%) in the follow-up contest. The last 10 of those games have also gone Under the total (100%). System Match (FADE OKLAHOMA CITY (-5.5 at DEN)), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 232).
  • In the last 17 Game Threes featuring one of the teams up 2-0 already in the series, 13 have gone Under the total (76.5%). System Match (PLAY UNDER: CLE-IND (o/u at 230.5))
  • Road teams are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 of Cavs-Pacers head-to-head divisional rivalry. Trend Match (PLAY: CLEVELAND (-4.5 at IND))
  • Under the total was 64-29 (68.8%) over the last three seasons when the home team was on OneDayRest and the road team was playing a 3rd in 8+ Days game. System Match (PLAY UNDER: OKC-DEN (o/u at 232)
  • Home teams are 9-3 SU and 7-5 ATS (58.3%) in the last 12 Game Threes. System Matches (PLAY ALL: INDIANA (+4.5 vs. CLE), DENVER (+4.5 vs. OKC)
  • Change of venue has changed scoring trend recently - with more Game Twos going Over than not, the scoring pace slows for Game Threes, as they are 19-9 Under (67.9%) in the last 28. System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL: CLE-IND (o/u at 230.5), OKC-DEN (o/u at 232)
  • In the last 17 Game Threes featuring one of the teams up 2-0 already in the series, 13 have gone Under the total (76.5%). System Match (PLAY UNDER: CLE-IND (o/u at 230.5)

Source: VSIN, Data from DraftKings Betting Splits, Enrichment Data.

[1] Source: VSIN[2] Source: Data from DraftKings Betting Splits[3] Source: Enrichment Data[4] Trend Matches: PLAY CLEVELAND -4.5 (-112), system matches from DK NBA Betting Splits system #2[5] Trend Matches: PLAY UNDER 229.5 (-104 O, -110 U), system matches from AI's Takes of the Day - DK Betting Splits system #2

  1. The trend for the Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers game on May 9, 2025, favors an over of 229.5 total points.
  2. In the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets game, a Thunder vs Nuggets over 116 1H could be a solid pick due to the Thunder's strong offensive performance.
  3. The DK NBA Betting Splits system #2 suggests playing all teams, including the Cavaliers and Thunder, when 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager.
  4. contrarily, the DK NBA Betting Splights system #10 indicates fading all teams' money line wagers, such as the Cavaliers and Thunder, as majority handle money line wagerers have struggled in the last 2 playoff seasons.
  5. AI's Takes of the Day - DK Betting Splits system #2 recommends Cleveland (-4.5 at IND) due to multiple playoff trends and a recent head-to-head trend favoring the Cavaliers.
  6. According to the NBA Betting Trends and Systems for May 9, 2025, second round teams coming off a same series game in which they scored 127+ points are just 6-10 SU and 4-12 ATS (25%) in the follow-up contest, and the last 10 of those games have also gone under the total.
  7. In the last 17 Game Threes featuring one of the teams up 2-0 already in the series, 13 have gone under the total (76.5%). This trend applies to the Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers game with an over/under of 230.5.

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