Probabilities for the 2025 Preakness Stakes and Professional Forecasts, Prognostications
Get Ready for the Thrilling 150th Preakness Stakes, May 17
Here's a lowdown on the 150th Preakness Stakes this coming Saturday, May 17. Post time is set for 7:01 PM in the vibrant city of Baltimore.
Following a strong second-place finish in the Kentucky Derby, Journalism, a gutsy competitor, emerges as the favorite for the 2025 Preakness Stakes with odds of 8-5. But let's take a delve into the field and discuss some intriguing longshots to keep an eye on.
Saddle up with our top picks for the Preakness:
- Pay Billy (Local Favorite): Although based nearby at Laurel Park, this horse has yet to run at Pimlico. But don't let that deter you; with two straight wins under his belt, it's safe to say that he's a force to be reckoned with. concerned fans may notice a drop in odds as the race nears-but savvy betters are well-advised to be cautious, as Pay Billy's first encounter with Pimlico could still leave room for surprise.
- Heart of Honor: An European-bred competitor, Heart of Honor boasts a solid second-place finish in the UAE Derby behind Admire Daytona. Do be careful, however, as if Admire Daytona's failure in the 2022 Kentucky Derby gives cause for concern about the Preakness's potential outcome.
The longshot that piques our interest is American Promise. After a promising start in the Kentucky Derby, he couldn’t quite hold it together towards the finish, possibly due to the muddy conditions. His impressive speed figure, however, should help him thrive in the shorter Preakness race.
So, who's slated to win this iconic race? The Preakness rewards horses with speed more than the other Triple Crown races, which should be advantageous for Clever Again who recently won the Hot Springs Stakes going wire-to-wire. Clever Again's latest speed figure of 101 and bloodlines, including 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah, make him a formidable contender.
2025 Preakness Prediction:
Not all horses were created equal in this year's Preakness lineup, which points to the fact that this may not be the strongest field ever. Keeping that in mind, Clever Again is expected to win, buoyed by his speed and previous victories. Journalism is likely to tire from his two-week run leading to the Kentucky Derby, making room for Clever Again to secure the win.
While American Promise is a worthy longshot bet, our picks for the top three are as follows:
- Win: Clever Again
- Place: Journalism
- Show: Sandman
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Enrichment Data:
Compared to the expected odds, American Promise appears more favorably priced at 15-1 compared to horses like Journalism (8-5) and Clever Again (5-1).*
Although Clever Again offers relatively lower odds, with a strong speed figure of 101 and impressive lineage, he stands a solid chance of winning the race. It is worth noting that, among the favorites, Journalism and River Thames have lower odds at 8-5 and 9-2 respectively, suggesting that the odds are in their favor.
Here's a comparison of the horses, odds, and speed figures:
| Horse | Odds | Speed Figure ||--------|------|--------------|| Journalism | 8-5 | 100 || Clever Again | 5-1 | 101 || River Thames | 9-2 | 99 || Heart of Honor | 12-1 | 97 || American Promise | 15-1 | 98 || Pay Billy | 20-1 | 95 |
- The favorite for the 2025 Preakness Stakes, Journalism, has odds of 8-5, but murky past performances could lead to an upset by a longshot contender.
- American Promise, a longshot with odds of 15-1, may be a worthwhile bet due to his impressive speed figure and strong start in the Kentucky Derby.
- Despite having lower odds at 5-1, Clever Again, with a strong speed figure of 101 and lineage tied to 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah, presents a solid case for winning the Preakness Stakes.
