Premium Picks for EPL Matches on May 3-4: Wagers and Forecasts

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Arsenal versus Bournemouth

Saturday, 12:30 p.m. ET

Though Liverpool secured the title last weekend, there's still plenty to play for in the English Premier League. With a few teams vying for European spots, let's dive into our top pick for this weekend.

Mikel Arteta and his Arsenal squad will play against Bournemouth following their tough midweek outing against Paris Saint-Germain. Although a win would be tempting at a price of +104, Arsenal might field a rotated side, making under 2.5 goals a solid bet.

With Ben White expected to make a return to the starting lineup, Arsenal's defense should strengthen, but their offensive capabilities will remain uncertain. Key players such as Declan Rice and Bukayo Saka may be fatigued, and team news will play a crucial role in determining the outcome. However, even with rotations, Arsenal should secure the win.

Bournemouth, on the other hand, have floundered in recent weeks, losing their edge after a promising start to the season. In their last 11 fixtures across all competitions, they've only won once. Their game against Manchester United showcased their decline, and they ultimately threw away a 1-0 lead in stoppage time.

Analyzing Arsenal's games after Champions League fixtures this season, three out of four have seen the cashed unders. I see a similar pattern emerging in this game. Despite the importance of the Paris Saint-Germain return leg, Arsenal will be wary of avoiding injuries and potentially fielding a less-than-full-strength lineup.

I foresee Arsenal winning this one 1-0 or 2-0, but the better play to keep a 0-0 or 1-1 onside is to take unders at -108. The last three Bournemouth games have seen under 2.5 goals cash, and they seem to be running out of steam for a mid-table finish.

Brighton versus Newcastle

Sunday, 9:00 a.m. ET

Things haven't been going well for Brighton in recent weeks, with their season taking a downturn. Fans were high on their prospects earlier in the season, but now, the pressure is on their manager, Fabian Hürzeler.

The main issue for Brighton has been their defense after dominating matches. Opponents have exploited their vulnerabilities, leading to six consecutive games conceding at least two goals.

Newcastle, with their direct and fast-flowing soccer, is precisely the sort of side to take advantage of Brighton's weak spots. A top-five finish is within their reach, starting with a significant victory here at the Amex Stadium. With goal-scoring threats throughout their squad, they're primed for a convincing win against a struggling Brighton side.

While Brighton is no stranger to high-scoring matches and seeking a comeback, the visitors offer a massive level of goal threat. Expect Newcastle to score multiple goals and secure the win at +128.

Leicester versus Southampton

Saturday, 10:00 a.m. ET

Both Leicester and Southampton have struggled mightily this season, earning the label of the worst sides in the Premier League. It's only natural for both teams to go all out, given the opportunity to secure a much-needed win.

Leicester holds a decent record against Southampton, including a 9-0 victory in 2019, and Jamie Vardy scored a hat trick in that game. Jamie Vardy recently announced that he will leave the club at the end of the season, making this match an emotional one for the veteran striker and a historical note for the club.

There's a likelihood Vardy will relish the spotlight and finish the season strong. At +180, Vardy represents excellent value for a player of his caliber and the significance of this match for him and the club.

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Footnote:

[1] George, D. (2025, May 4). Post-Match Report – Arsenal 1-2 Bournemouth. Retrieved May 17, 2025, from https://www.arsenal.com/match/arsenal-vs-bournemouth-2024-25
[3] Law Sheet. (2025). Arsenal vs. Bournemouth Predictions, Odds & Picks – EPL Matchweek 35 | SportsLine. Retrieved May 17, 2025, from https://sports.yahoo.com/news/arsenal-vs-bournemouth-predictions-odds-182251088.html
[5] ESPN. (2025). Arsenal vs Spurs predictions, live stream, score, time, TV, odds: How to watch Premier League online. Retrieved May 17, 2025, from https://www.espn.com/soccer/english-premier-league/story/4548211/arsenal-vs-tottenham-predictions-live-stream-score-time-tv-odds-how-watch-premier-league-online
[6] BOCSFA. (2025). FOOTBALL ODDS COMPARISON SERVICE – Betting Odds on Sports! Retrieved May 17, 2025, from https://www.bocs.fa.org/iMB/bocs_home/dashboard

According to this week's EPL predictions, a traded Arsenal squad may face under 2.5 goals against Bournemouth on Saturday, despite the uncertainty in their offensive capabilities.
The expert picks suggest that even with potential rotations, Arsenal should secure the win against Bournemouth due to their stronger overall performance this season.
In the panel's expert opinion, taking unders at -108 in the Arsenal versus Bournemouth game is a better play to keep a 0-0 or 1-1 onside, given the teams' recent performances.
For the Leicester versus Southampton game on Saturday, veteran striker Jamie Vardy represents excellent value at +180 since he might play aggressively in his last few games for the club.