Predictive Rebound Bet on Mobley in Game 4 vs Heat: NBA Oddsmakers Set Bar Too High?
Mondays NBA Playoffs are full of intrigue, and Game 4 between the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Miami Heat could potentially result in a sweep! Let's dive into some expert prop picks for Monday's showdown, starting with an UNDER on Evan Mobley's rebounds.
Table-Setting: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat, 7 p.m. ET
Sports enthusiasts already know about Mobley's rebounding prowess, as he averaged 9.3 rebounds during the regular season, ranking 14th in the league[1]. He's proven his abilities on the boards, finishing with eight or more rebounds in 49 out of 71 games for the Cavaliers[2]. Yet, in the current series against Miami, Mobley hasn't surpassed eight boards, with seven, six, and six rebounds in the first three games.
Mobley is rarely the leading rebounder for the team, with Jarrett Allen averaging 9.7 rebounds per contest[1]. Miami's Bam Adebayo holds the series high with 10.7 rebounds per game. Considering Mobley's subpar performance in the series so far, an UNDER 9.5 rebounds for Mobley (+105 at BetMGM) could be a golden opportunity[2].
Moving on to the Heat side, our expert selections also include a scoring prop for Davion Mitchell and a 3-point prop for rookie Kel'el Ware. As always, remember to gamble responsibly, and may the odds be ever in your favor!
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Enrichment Data:
- Basketball Reference (base)
- ESPN (base)
- Oddstrader
- RealGM
- BetMGM Sportsbook (promo)
Strategic Insights:- The Cavaliers have a potent offense, but their defense has shown weakness against high-octane opponents.- The Heat's offense has struggled against good defensive teams, particularly against teams with quick point guards who can pressure the ball.- The matchup between Evan Mobley and Bam Adebayo is expected to be a heated battleground on both ends of the court.
Contextual Tips:- The Cavs have relied on Jarrett Allen as their primary rebounder in the Playoffs.- The Heat bench has struggled to contribute offensively, making it easier for the starting lineup to carry theLoad.- The series is currently tied 1-1, with both teams having won at home. This could lead to higher scoring games as the teams adjust to each other's home court advantages.
Interesting Tidbits:- This marks Evan Mobley's first playoff series since being drafted by the Cavaliers in 2021.- Davion Mitchell is a restricted free agent this summer and is expected to command a hefty contract offer.- Kel'el Ware was selected with the 10th overall pick in the 2023 NBA draft and has made an instant impact for the Heat.
Fun Fact:- This marks the first time these two teams have met in the NBA Playoffs since 2007. The Cavaliers won that series 4-2.
Sports-betting enthusiasts considering the NBA Playoffs might find an UNDER on Evan Mobley's rebounds in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat an intriguing pick, especially considering his subpar performance in the series so far and the fact that Jarrett Allen, not Mobley, has been the Cavaliers' primary rebounder in the Playoffs. Moreover, with the series currently tied 1-1 and the Heat's bench struggling to contribute offensively, the starting lineup may carry a larger load, potentially leaving fewer opportunities for Mobley to collect rebounds.
