Predictive political betting odds for the 2028 Democratic presidential race: Who is currently in the front-runner position?
2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination: Gavin Newsom Leads Pack, According to Polymarket
The race for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination is heating up, with California Governor Gavin Newsom leading the pack, according to data from Polymarket, a prediction market.
Newsom has garnered 21% of the bets for the Democratic nomination, placing him in a strong position. His actions, such as launching a podcast, attacking President Donald Trump, and visiting South Carolina, have fueled speculation about a potential White House bid.
U.S. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) is close behind with 16% of the bets. No clear frontrunner has emerged yet, but Newsom is the clear favourite by a significant margin.
Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has received 12% of the bets, followed by Vice President Kamala Harris and Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear, who have both received around 5%. Maryland Governor Wes Moore and Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer have received 5% and 7% of the bets, respectively. Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson and U.S. Senator Jon Ossoff (D-Ga.) have 3% support, tied with Harris.
Other candidates like Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro and political figures like Jon Stewart also have smaller chances, typically around 4-5%.
On the Republican side, JD Vance is the clear favourite, with 28% of bettors wagering that he will be the winner in the 2028 general election. Vance has a 55% chance of being the Republican Party's nominee, according to Polymarket.
Polymarket's prediction market allows participants to trade positions based on their expectations for the future, effectively aggregating collective betting odds into probabilistic forecasts. This data provides a unique insight into the current state of the 2028 presidential race.
As the 2028 presidential race approaches, it will be interesting to see how the candidates' positions change and whether a clear frontrunner emerges.
The media is abuzz with the latest predictions from Polymarket's prediction market about the 2028 presidential race, with California Governor Gavin Newsom leading the pack in the Democratic nomination. His strong position is backed by 21% of the bets, despite the absence of a clear frontrunner yet. On the other hand, sports-betting enthusiasts might find the GOP side more captivating, as JD Vance is the clear favorite, holding 28% of the bets for the general election. This ongoing political race unfolds amidst policy-and-legislation developments and general-news updates, making it an exciting period for those following politics closely.
