Predictive Analysis: Mercury versus Valkyries, Betting Prospects, Preferred Choice for August 19
The Phoenix Mercury and Golden State Valkyries are set to face off tonight at 10:00 p.m. EDT at the Chase Center in San Francisco, California. The game will be broadcast live on AZFamily.
The Mercury have a strong advantage in their recent encounters with the Valkyries. They secured victories on August 19 and August 22, 2025, with scores of 98-91 and 81-72 respectively. Key performances for Phoenix included Kahleah Copper scoring 25 points (with 5 three-pointers), Alyssa Thomas recording a triple-double (13 points, 12 rebounds, 16 assists), and Monique Akoa Makani contributing 18 points with four 3-pointers.
In the August 19 game, Phoenix came from behind to defeat Golden State, led by Copper’s 25 points and significant contributions from Satou Sabally and Thomas. Phoenix’s scoring was balanced, with strong shooting from three-point range and effective playmaking from Thomas and Bonner.
In the August 22 matchup, Thomas posted a career-high-tying triple-double, powering Phoenix to an 81-72 win. Makani’s four 3-pointers and DeWanna Bonner’s sharpshooting were pivotal. Golden State struggled with shooting beyond key contributions from Janelle Salaun (15 points) and Veronica Burton (11 points), and they suffered from an injury to Tiffany Hayes.
Given Phoenix Mercury’s recent dominance in these matchups, their ability to score from beyond the arc, and strong all-around playmaking, they are favoured in any upcoming encounters. The Mercury are favoured by 6.5 points on the spread, with the odds for the Valkyries to win outright at +240.
Best bets would be: - Phoenix Mercury to win, based on their momentum and home-court performance. - Over on total points, as both recent games were relatively high-scoring (98-91 and 81-72) with Phoenix’s capable offense. - Player prop bet on Alyssa Thomas for a triple-double or significant assists, given her season trend of multiple triple-doubles and playmaking impact.
However, analyst Jim Turvey suggests that the Valkyries may start to stumble down the stretch due to missing players. Iliana Rupert, who was playing well for the Valkyries, was injured in the Atlanta game. Turvey predicts the game may be close at halftime but Phoenix may pull away in the second half. He also believes that Golden State may struggle due to missing players and his best bet is on the Mercury -6.5.
The Mercury vs. Valkyries Over/Under is 154.5 (-115o / -108u). Both Phoenix and Atlanta have solid coaching, and the game is compared to the quality of play between these two teams. Turvey's prediction was made before the spread increased from -5.5.
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