Predictions for Tomorrow's MLB Games, Taking into Account Betting Data, Power Rankings, and Trends for May 3rd

Grab your mitt and let's dive into the latest MLB betting trends for May 3, 2025, curated by the experts at VSiN. Our top picks, insights, and strategies will help you rake in those liners and boost your bankroll.

Today's MLB Tips:

We've gathered the hottest trends, systems, and plays straight from the VSiN Analytics team and Steve Makinen's MLB Daily Lines to help you crush the books.

Top Tips for Today:

Home Teams on a roll: Bounce-back time! Teams coming off an abysmal pitching performance at home where they gave up 16 hits are on a scorching run of 290-250 (53.7%) for +30.43 units and an ROI of 5.6% since 2018. [Play all: TEXAS (+110 vs. SEA), ST LOUIS (+130 vs. NYM)]
Skidding but Pitching Well: When teams have lost their last 4 games but maintained a decent pitching performance (6.0 RPG or less), wager in game #5 for a 200-200 run (+28.62 units, ROI: 7.2%)! [Play all: TAMPA BAY (+164 at NYY), MINNESOTA (-102 at BOS)]

Specific System Tips:

Kevin Gausman Fade: Dodging Kevin Gausman when he's playing at home within the line range of -135 to -180 has netted a -18.34 unit loss since 2016. [Fade TOR (-148 vs. CLE)]
San Francisco Surge vs. Colorado: The Giants have been golden hosting the Rockies, going 20-4 (83.3%) since 2019. They've racked up +10.15 units (+42.3% ROI) in this trend! [PLAY: SF (-298 vs. COL)]

MLB Bullpen Strategies:

暗 murmur Developing MLB betting strategies based on bullpen strength ratings can deliver steady returns. Here are three crucial angles to keep in mind:

Bullpen Standouts (NOT Favorites -190 or higher): Teams with better bullpen ratings, not priced as massive favorites (-190 or higher), have gone 233-193 (54.1%) since 2025, totaling +3.35 units and a 0.7% ROI. This is a golden opportunity for smart gamblers! [Play all: NY METS, SAN DIEGO, ARIZONA, ATLANTA, HOUSTON, CLEVELAND, MINNESOTA, TEXAS, BALTIMORE, DETROIT, ATHLETICS]
Overpriced Favorites (-190 or higher): Avoid overpriced, high-favorited teams with better bullpen ratings and a winning percentage difference of less than 19% against their opponent. These teams have been a money-sucking mess (-118.22 units) since 2019! [Fade all: NY YANKEES (-198 vs. TB), CINCINNATI (-192 vs. WSH)]
Bullpen Blues for Losing Favorites (-190 or more): Wager on losing teams listed as -190 or more favorites, with better bullpen ratings and a winning percentage 19% or higher vs. their opponent. These inspired underdogs have claimed a +8.01 unit profit in the regular season (2025) so far! [Play all: SF (-298 vs. COL), HOUSTON (-270 at CWS)]

DraftKings Betting Splits Data:

Tapping into the wealth of DraftKings Betting Splits data, here are three systems and qualifying plays for today:

90%+ Handle on Home Favorites: Make like a cat and bat on the *paw* of 90% or more handle on home favorites. They've been a high-profit, high-success strategy, going 200-83 (70.7%) for +35.78 units and a 12.6% ROI [Play all: NY YANKEES, SF]
Medium Majority Handle Bets: Ride the smaller-majority wave, as bets in the 51%-59% range have a 431-381 (53.1%) record, with a -4.6 unit profit and a 0.6% ROI [Consider: ATHLETICS, BALTIMORE]
May Turbulence: It's not the birds. It's the pros. Majority handle teams face brutal odds in May (431-379, -101.23 units, -12.5% ROI). Tread carefully this month! [Fade All Majority handle teams]

Other Noteworthy Insights:

San Diego (+100 @ PIT) and Arizona (+105 @ PHI) are struggling bullpens looking to break even with better bullpen unddog teams (+46.27 units for the 2024 season), but off to a slow start.
Worse bullpen teams on winning streaks (2-game: CHI WHITE SOX | 3+ game: LA DODGERS, TORONTO, SEATTLE) face challenges in extending their streaks in May.
"9" is a magic run number for fading a team in the next game, as teams scoring 9 runs or more have a bleak record (-246.91 units) when the majority of bettors support them.

Takeaways:

With a number of valuable betting angles, strategies, and trends available for May 3, 2025, sports enthusiasts should find plenty of opportunities to capitalize. From home teams bouncing back after bad performances to bullpen strategies and DraftKings data insights, there's something for everyone in today's betting landscape. Let the games begin, and may your bankroll grow!

[1] VSiN Analytics Team, "Today's MLB Betting Trends," 2025 May 3.[2] DraftKings.com, "MLB Player Props," 2025 May 3.[3] VSiN Analytics Team, "Los Angeles Dodgers,\" 2025 Season.[4] VSiN Analytics Team, "Oakland Athletics,\" 2025 Season.[5] "MLB Best Bets Today: Odds, predictions and picks for Saturday May 3," VSiN, 2025 May 3.

The hottest sports betting trend today involves home teams that have struggled recently, particularly those coming off a poor pitching performance, which have a remarkable 290-250 (53.7%) record since 2018 when they bounce back, yielding +30.43 units and an ROI of 5.6%. This trend can be applied to the games TEXAS (+110 vs. SEA) and ST LOUIS (+130 vs. NYM).
Another interesting trend is observing teams that have lost their last four games but have still maintained a decent pitching performance. These teams, such as TAMPA BAY (+164 at NYY) and MINNESOTA (-102 at BOS), have shown a 200-200 (50%) record since 2018 in their fifth consecutive game, with a total profit of +28.62 units and an ROI of 7.2%.
In sports betting, it's essential to focus on specific systems, such as fading Kevin Gausman when he's playing at home within the line range of -135 to -180. Since 2016, this system has resulted in a -18.34 unit loss. With this knowledge, gamblers may want to fade TOR (-148 vs. CLE) in today's games.
Developing MLB betting strategies based on bullpen strength ratings can deliver steady returns. One such angle includes wagering on teams with better bullpen ratings, not priced as massive favorites (-190 or higher), such as the NY METS, SAN DIEGO, ARIZONA, ATLANTA, HOUSTON, CLEVELAND, MINNESOTA, TEXAS, BALTIMORE, DETROIT, and ATHLETICS, which have gone 233-193 (54.1%) since 2025, totaling +3.35 units and a 0.7% ROI.