Predictions for Today's MLB Matches: Greg Peterson's Top Recommended Wagers for June 14th
SATURDAY, JUNE 14: MLB PICKS TODAY
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MLB RESOURCES:
- Today's MLB Games
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- Greg Peterson's MLB Daily Lines
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4:05 PM Eastern Time
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Phillies starting pitcher Cristopher Sanchez demonstrates exceptional performance this season, holding a 2.91 ERA and 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings, with 0.9 home runs per nine innings permitted. Blue Jays starting pitcher Bowden Francis, on the other hand, has struggled, ranking second in the league for home runs allowed with 19, while he also has a 6.12 ERA and allows 3.6 walks per nine innings.
Pick: Given Sanchez's solid performance and Francis' struggles, we recommend backing the Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 +125 (Greg's Handicap: Phillies -1.5 -111)
4:10 PM Eastern Time
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Cardinals starting pitcher Andre Pallante boasts a 4.75 ERA, but allows only 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings and 1.4 home runs per nine innings. Brewers pitcher Jose Quintana shows signs of regression, maintaining a 2.66 ERA this season, but a 4.37 fielding independent with 6.3 strikeouts and 3.7 walks per nine innings allowed, coupled with a Brewers bullpen ERA ranking 21st at 4.34.
Picks: Opt for the Brewers Moneyline -118 and Over 8.5 runs (Greg's Handicap: Brewers -136 and Total 8.8)
6:10 PM Eastern Time
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros
Houston Astros starting pitcher Hunter Brown boasts an impressive 1.82 ERA, with 10.6 strikeouts and 0.7 home runs allowed per nine innings. His opposition, Twins starting pitcher Joe Ryan, has recently let up at least three total runs (earned and unearned) in three of his last four starts, struggling with allowing hard contact on the road. Ryan's lifetime ERA on the road is 3.96, with over 1.5 home runs per nine innings allowed compared to a 3.64 ERA at home.
Picks: Back the Houston Astros Moneyline -120 (Greg's Handicap: Astros -142)
7:20 PM Eastern Time
Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves
Rockies starting pitcher Chase Dollander has a higher ERA overall but a lower ERA away from home (4.50 compared to 6.85) with 1.5 home runs per nine innings allowed away from home compared to 3.5 home runs per nine innings allowed at home. Braves starting pitcher Spencer Strider is having a rocky start to the season with a 5.40 ERA through his first five starts. However, the Rockies team hits below .200 away from home with a league-worst 2.5 runs per game away from home, which might help Strider find his form.
Picks: Predict Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves Under 9 Runs (Greg's Handicapped Total: 8.2)
10:10 PM Eastern Time
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Mets
Met's starting pitcher Tylor Megill possesses a 3.76 ERA, 3.15 fielding independent, and 11.7 strikeouts per nine innings with just 0.7 home runs per nine innings. Rays starting pitcher Drew Rasmussen has a 2.22 ERA but a 3.24 fielding independent, with fewer strikeouts: 7.7 per nine innings. He faces a Mets lineup that ranks seventh in scoring with over 4.6 runs per game.
Picks: Back the New York Mets Moneyline -130 (Greg's Handicap: Mets -152)
10:10 PM Eastern Time
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners
Guardians starting pitcher Tanner Bibee has a 3.81 ERA, but a 4.83 fielding independent with 1.7 home runs per nine innings allowed and inflates that number to a 4.99 ERA on the road with 2.5 home runs per nine innings allowed. George Kirby, the Mariners starter, has a 6.38 ERA, but he's showing improvement having recorded two runs against the Angels in his most recent outing.
Picks: Place your bet on Seattle Mariners Moneyline -130 and Over 7 Runs (Greg's Handicap: Mariners -142 and Total 7.8)
Sources:
[1] Baseball Reference
[2] MLB.com
[3] Fangraphs
[4] Fangraphs
[5] Baseball Almanac
- In the 4:05 PM match between the Toronto Blue Jays and Philadelphia Phillies, given Cristopher Sanchez's solid performance and Bowden Francis' struggles, one should consider betting on the Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 (+125) (MLB, Run Line).
- For the 4:10 PM game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Milwaukee Brewers, despite slightly higher ERAs, selecting the Brewers Moneyline (-118) and Over 8.5 runs is recommended, considering Jose Quintana's regression and the Brewers bullpen's subpar performance (MLB, Moneyline, Over/Under).
