Predictions for the upcoming Fever vs. Liberty match adjusted after Caitlin Clark sustains an injury, according to experts' analysis
Caitlin Clark will miss the Indiana Fever's highly-anticipated game against the defending champions, the New York Liberty, on July 16, due to a right groin injury sustained during Tuesday's victory over the Connecticut Sun [1][2]. This marks Clark's tenth game missed this season, a setback for both her and the Fever as they strive to secure a playoff spot at 12-10 [2].
Clark's availability for upcoming games, including the Fever's next matchup against the Liberty on July 22 and her potential participation in the WNBA All-Star Game, remains uncertain [2]. The All-Star Game, scheduled to take place at her home arena, Gainbridge Fieldhouse, and Clark's expected role as captain of Team Clark, are now in question due to the injury [1][2].
The Fever initially listed Clark as questionable for the July 16 game but later confirmed she would not play [1][3]. Clark's health is of paramount importance for the Fever's playoff push in the second half of the season, given her impressive stats this year, including an average of 16.5 points, 8.8 assists, and 5.0 rebounds per game [4].
Meanwhile, the Liberty, who have won eight of their last ten games, are favoured to win the matchup at Barclays Center. According to Dimers' predictive analytics model, the Liberty have a 76% chance of emerging victorious against the Fever [5]. The projected box scores for the Liberty include Breanna Stewart with 21 points, Sabrina Ionescu with 19 points, and no 3-pointers made [6].
The top pick for the Fever vs. Liberty game on July 16 is to bet on the Fever +10 (-108) [7]. However, given Clark's absence and the tight turnaround between games, the Fever may choose to exercise caution with her injury. The 164.5-point over/under for the game has a 52% chance of staying under, according to Dimers [8].
It is essential to gamble responsibly and seek reliable sources for accurate and up-to-date information when making online betting decisions. All WNBA best bets and WNBA predictions in this article are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Fever vs. Liberty matchup [9].
[1] [Indiana Fever's Caitlin Clark ruled out for New York Liberty game due to groin injury](https://www.espn.com/wnba/story/_/id/35615963/indiana-fever-caitlin-clark-ruled-out-new-york-liberty-game-due-groin-injury) [2] [Caitlin Clark injury update: Fever star ruled out for Liberty game on July 16](https://www.cbssports.com/wnba/news/caitlin-clark-injury-update-fever-star-ruled-out-for-liberty-game-on-july-16/) [3] [Indiana Fever's Caitlin Clark out for Liberty game with groin injury](https://www.sportingnews.com/us/wnba/news/indiana-fever-caitlin-clark-out-for-liberty-game-with-groin-injury/152h18s96g1p11t53v9z5j10k5/) [4] [Caitlin Clark stats and highlights for 2025 WNBA season](https://www.basketball-reference.com/wnba/players/c/clarkca01.html) [5] [Dimers' predicted final score for Indiana vs. New York game on July 16, 2025](https://dimers.com/wnba/indiana-fever-vs-new-york-liberty-2025-07-16) [6] [Projected box scores for New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever on July 16, 2025](https://dimers.com/wnba/indiana-fever-vs-new-york-liberty-2025-07-16) [7] [Best bets for Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty on July 16, 2025](https://dimers.com/wnba/indiana-fever-vs-new-york-liberty-2025-07-16) [8] [Over/under prediction for Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty on July 16, 2025](https://dimers.com/wnba/indiana-fever-vs-new-york-liberty-2025-07-16) [9] [All WNBA best bets and WNBA predictions derived from 10,000 data-driven simulations](https://dimers.com/methodology)
Despite Caitlin Clark's absence due to a right groin injury, sports-betting enthusiasts might consider the Fever's odds against the defending champions, the New York Liberty, on July 22, as Clark's participation in the upcoming games remains uncertain. The WNBA All-Star Game, set to take place on July 17, could potentially exclude Clark if her injury persists, given that it would be held at her home arena, Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
