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Predictions for Saturday, May 17 MLB Games, Utilizing Betting Statistics, Mathematical Rankings, and Patterns

MLB Betting Insights: vital trends disclosed by Steve Makinen and VSiN Analytics squad for Saturday, 17th May

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MLB Betting Insights: Key Trends for Saturday, May 17, as Unveiled by Steve Makinen and the VSiN...
MLB Betting Insights: Key Trends for Saturday, May 17, as Unveiled by Steve Makinen and the VSiN Analytics Squad

Predictions for Saturday, May 17 MLB Games, Utilizing Betting Statistics, Mathematical Rankings, and Patterns

Today's MLB picks and trends for May 17, 2025:

AJ's Angles

Here are the top MLB betting trends and systems handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen:

  1. MILWAUKEE (-102 vs MIN) FADE: The Brewers have struggled as underdogs this season, going 4-16 (-11.23 units). Take advantage of this trend and back the Twins.
  2. WSH-BAL (o/u at 10.5) PLAY UNDER: The Under is 17-1 (94.4%, +15.95 units) in the last 18 games between Washington and Baltimore. This is a solid system to follow.
  3. STEVE MAKINEN BULLPEN SYSTEMS
  4. For the '25 season, better rated bullpen teams that were NOT favorites of -190 or higher, or were -190 or higher and had a winning percentage 19% or higher and a starting pitcher edge of at least 20 have gone 313-256 for +11.04 units and a ROI of 1.9%. Play the NY Yankees, Chicago Cubs, Detroit, Baltimore, Tampa Bay, Philadelphia, Cleveland, Houston, Kansas City, Atlanta, Minnesota, Arizona, and San Francisco.
  5. Teams scoring 5.0 or more runs per game and riding a 4-game winning streak are just 103-110 (-46.07 units, ROI: -21.6%) in the next contest since the start of the 2021 season. Avoid betting on the underdog Detroit and back the Blue Jays.
  6. "9" is a MAGIC RUN NUMBER" FADE ALL: Teams that score 9 runs or more in the previous contest have been a losing proposition over the past four seasons. This could be an angle to consider for the following teams: Chicago Cubs, Miami, St. Louis, and San Francisco.

Strategies using MLB DraftKings Betting Splits data

Here are the strategies using MLB DraftKings Betting Splits data:

  1. Chicago Cubs is a strong bet when 90% or more of the handle is on the home side. This "super" majority group has fared well, going 200-83 (70.7%) for +35.78 units and a ROI of +12.6%.
  2. Cleveland, St. Louis, and Boston might be worth considering when the majority percentage of bets lands in the 51%-59% range. This group has gone 431-381 (53.1%) for -4.6 units and a ROI of -0.6%.
  3. Avoid majority handle bettors in INTERLEAGUE GAMES. These bets have posted a winning record at 52.1%, but the odds-makers overprice them, resulting in a loss of -10.2%.
  4. Fade teams playing on the road that scored 2 runs or fewer in their last contest. They have been a losing proposition over the past four seasons.

MLB Extreme Stats Systems

  1. KANSAS CITY (-120 vs STL) PLAY: Teams playing at home against the same team after a blowout loss of 7 runs or more have a solid rebound record.
  2. ROAD TEAMS THAT DIDN'T SCORE WELL IN THE LAST GAME FADE: Teams playing on the road that scored 2 runs or fewer in their last contest have a long losing streak.
  3. HOME TEAMS THAT DID SCORE WELL LAST GAME FADE: Home teams coming off a game in which they scored 5 runs or more have been a poor bet.

MLB Streak Systems

  1. Detroit (-148 at TOR) PLAY: Teams that have lost their last four games but are getting reasonably good pitching during the skid have been solid wagers in game #5.
  2. Minneapolis (-118 at MIL) PLAY: Teams on winning streaks of 5-games and scoring less than 4.5 runs per game are a solid bet to extend the streak versus the Brewers.
  3. Detroit (-148 at TOR) PLAY: Teams on a winning streak on 9+ games and favored by -145 or less (or underdog) have gone 33-16 (+18.51 units, ROI: 37.8%) in trying to stretch the streak another game.

Today's UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS

struggles and Pittsburgh (+245) lead the list of underdogs with a significant edge, according to the Makinen Strength Ratings.

Bet on the HOUSTON (+100 at TEX), as road teams have a surging record in the in-state AL West rivalry between Houston and Texas.

  1. The sports betting trend suggests fading the Milwaukee Brewers against the Minnesota Twins, given the Brewers' struggling record as underdogs this season. (point spread, betting trends, sports betting, MLB, baseball)
  2. In head-to-head series, consider betting on the Houston Astros over the Texas Rangers, as road teams have a surging record in their in-state AL West rivalry. (sports, baseball, MLB, head-to-head series, betting trends)
  3. When 90% or more of the handle is on the home side for the Chicago Cubs, they have performed well, offering a strong bet. (odds, DraftKings Betting Splits data, sports betting, MLB, baseball)
  4. Teams playing on the road that scored 2 runs or fewer in their last game have been a losing proposition over the past four seasons, a trend to consider avoiding. (MLB DraftKings Betting Splits data, sports betting, MLB, baseball)

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