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Predictions for NBA Bets, Considering Betting Odds, Rankings, and Game Trajectories for May 14-15

NBA Betting Insights: Trends to Consider for May 14-15, Curated by Steve Makinen and the VSiN Analytics Team

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NBA Analytics: Insights and Betting Trends from Steve Makinen and VSiN Analytics Team, Covering...
NBA Analytics: Insights and Betting Trends from Steve Makinen and VSiN Analytics Team, Covering Games on May 14-15

Today's NBA Betting Tips:

Predictions for NBA Bets, Considering Betting Odds, Rankings, and Game Trajectories for May 14-15

Here's a rundown of the top NBA betting trends and systems for May 15, 2025, handpicked by VSiN analysts.

AI's Takes

Following Bill Adee's lead, I've run these reports through an online AI service for a unique perspective. As of my last update, AI's record is 93-77-3 (54.7%). Today's results:

  • BOSTON (-4.5 vs. NYK): Multiple playoff trends/systems, team strength system #1, extreme stat system #9, and Makinen bettors ratings projection all favor BOS.
  • GOLDEN STATE (+11 at MIN): Two DK Betting Splits systems, second round Game Five trend, and Makinen power ratings projection all favor GSW, along with numerous playoff-specific trends/systems that fade MIN.

AJ's Angles

  • System Match (FADE ATS) - MINNESOTA (-11 vs. GSW): Laying big points with home teams haven't fared well for bettors in the second round recently, as hosts laying 8.5 points or more have gone 17-11 SU but just 7-21 ATS (25%) since 2016!
  • System Matches (PLAY ALL) - BOSTON (-4.5 vs. NYK), GOLDEN STATE (+11 at MIN): Teams that lost big in Game Four, by 7 points or more, come back very competitively in Game Five, going 15-10 SU and 18-7 ATS (72%) in the last 25 tries.
  • System Match (PLAY UNDER) - OKC-DEN (o/u at 217.5): Ten of the last 14 (71.4%) Game Sixes that have been played the last four playoff seasons have gone Under the total.
  • Trend Match (PLAY) - DENVER (+4.5 vs. OKC): Underdogs are 11-10 SU and 17-4 ATS in the last 21 of the Nuggets-Thunder head-to-head divisional rivalry.

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

  • System Matches (PLAY ALL) - NEW YORK, GOLDEN STATE: These systems involve data graciously provided by DraftKings and have been successful on point spreads and totals when 59% or more of the handle or money backed the road team in an ATS wager.
  • System Match (FADE) - DENVER: These strategies have been effective when there was a majority handle backing the team with fewer wins on the season in the NBA.

NBA Second Round Playoffs Trends/Systems

  • Scoring Trend: Teams that score 112 points or more in a second-round playoff game have gone 131-31 SU and 124-37-1 ATS (77%).
  • Trends by Line/Total Range: Laying big points with home teams has struggled recently, as hosts laying 8.5 points or more have gone 17-11 SU but just 7-21 ATS (25%) since 2016.
  • Last Game Trends: Teams coming off a loss in a second-round series game and playing at home have bounced back well, 29-17 ATS (63%) since 2021.
  • Trends by Game Number: Expect Game Fives to be tight - Favorites are 32-13 SU but just 20-25 ATS (44.4%) since 2013. Teams that lost big in Game Four and came back in Game Five have gone 15-10 SU and 18-7 ATS (72%) in the last 25 tries.
  • Trends by Seed Number: #1 seeds have struggled recently, going 54-44 SU and 45-52-1 ATS (46.4%) in their last 98 second-round playoff games.

NBA Team Strength Systems

  • NBA Team Strength Betting System #1: In games between two teams with 60%+ winning percentages, home teams favored in the -4.5 to -9.5 range are on a 150-59 SU and 122-86-1 ATS (58.7%) run.

NBA Extreme Stats Next Game Systems

  • Divisional upsets can create urgency: NBA teams that lose as favorites to divisional opponents have bounced back well when facing another divisional foe, going 102-65 SU and 98-66-3 ATS (59.8%) in that follow-up try over the last four seasons.

NBA Streak Systems

  • NO QUALIFYING STREAK PLAYS TODAY

Today's NBA Strength Ratings

  • UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections: DENVER +4.5
  • TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections: OKC-DEN OVER 217.5
  • UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections: DENVER +4.5
  • TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections: OKC-DEN OVER 217.5, NYK-BOS OVER 207.5, GSW-MIN OVER 202
  • TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections: NYK-BOS UNDER 207.5
  • PLAY DENVER +4.5 vs. OKLAHOMA CITY: Underdogs are 11-10 SU and 17-4 ATS in the last 21 of Nuggets-Thunder head-to-head divisional rivalry.
  1. Bill Adee's team strength system, extreme stat system, and Makinen bettors ratings project that Boston will win with a point spread of 4.5 points against New York in sports betting.
  2. AJ's angle suggests that laying big points with Minnesota at home against Golden State in the NBA Second Round Playoffs might not be beneficial, as hosts laying 8.5 points or more have struggled recently, going 17-11 SU but just 7-21 ATS since 2016.
  3. The NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data Systems indicate that teams like New York and Golden State, where 59% or more of the handle or money backed the road team in an ATS wager, have been successful on point spreads and totals.
  4. According to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections, Denver is an underpriced underdog with a point spread of 4.5 against Oklahoma City in sports-betting.
  5. The NBA Second Round Playoffs Trends/Systems reveal that teams that lost big in Game Four and came back in Game Five, like Boston against New York, have gone 15-10 SU and 18-7 ATS in the last 25 tries. Additionally, the total projections favor an Over in the Game Five matchup between Boston and New York with an over/under of 207.5 points.

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