Predictions for MLB Matches, Taking into Account Betting Differences, Rankings, and Recent Trends on Wednesday, 25th June
Today's top MLB betting trends and systems for June 27, 2025, hand-picked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen:
Top MLB Betting Trends & Systems for June 27, 2025
AJ's Angles
- Trend: Max Fried is 20-3 (+15.10 units) in the last 23 starts vs. NL Central teams. Trend Match (PLAY): Yankees (-218 at CIN)
- Trend: The last ten games (100%, +10.00 units) of the Houston-Phillies head-to-head series went Under the total. Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): PHI-HOU (o/u at 7)
- MLB Series System #11: Road teams wrapping up a series after a game in which they lost and scored four or fewer runs have bounced back well with a 553-618 record. System Matches (PLAY ALL): PITTSBURGH (-109 at MIL), BOSTON (+108 at LAA), WASHINGTON (+128 at SD), YANKEES (-218 at CIN)
- Trend: Under the total is 13-3-2 (+9.70 units) when HOU is a ML underdog this season. Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): PHI-HOU (o/u at 7)
MLB Bullpen Systems
- System Matches (SLIGHT FADE ALL): WASHINGTON (+128 at SD), PHILADELPHIA (-156 at HOU)
- System Matches (FADE ALL): BALTIMORE (+128 vs. TEX), ATLANTA (+129 at NYM)
- System Matches (FADE ALL): NY YANKEES (-218 at CIN)
Fade Better Bullpen Overpriced Favorites
Since the last two regular seasons, in which the team with the better bullpen and a +190 or higher money line had a losing record (-78.62 units), the trend continues in 2025 with teams like NY YANKEES (-218 at CIN) and SF (-232 vs. MIA) to fade.
Back Big Favorites with Better Bullpen Ratings and Win Percentage ≥ 19% higher than Opponent
Teams like LAD (-340 at COL) and TEXAS (-156 at BAL) have proven to be solid favorites to bet on, as they have a strong bullpen and significant winning percentage advantage over their opponents.
Better Bullpen Underdogs
Historically, teams with better bullpen ratings have been strong underdog plays. Boston (+108 at LAA), Atlanta (+129 at NYM), and Seattle (+108 at MIN) are this year's best bets based on this system.
Worse Bullpen Teams Struggling to Extend Winning Streaks
Fade: LA ANGELS (+132 vs. BOS), ST LOUIS (+122 vs. CHC), MIAMI (+187 at SF) when 2 or more-game winning streaks. Fade 3-game winning streaks: CINCINNATI (+176 vs. NYY)
DK MLB Betting Splits - System #1: When 90% or more of the handle was on the home side of an MLB money line wager since the beginning of the season, teams like DETROIT and SF have fared well with a solid 200-83 (+35.78 units, ROI: +12.6%) record. System Matches (PLAY ALL): DETROIT, SAN FRANCISCO
MLB Series Systems
- MLB Series Betting System #2: Losing teams on a 3-game skid but getting reasonably good pitching (6.0 RPG or fewer) have performed well with a 553-618 record (+57.90 units, ROI: 4.9%) in the final game of a series, advising plays like Pittsburgh (-109 at MIL), Boston (+108 at LAA), Washington (+128 at SD), and Yankees (-218 at CIN).
- MLB Series Betting System #4: Road underdogs of +101 to +187 have had a reasonable ROI (2.1%) with a record of 582-764 (+27.72 units) in the final game of a series. System Matches (PLAY ALL): Boston (+108 at LAA), Washington (+128 at SD)
- MLB Series Betting System #5: Road underdogs of +101 to +187 have performed exceptionally well in the final game when ending a road trip, with a ROI of +12.5%. System Matches (PLAY ALL): Boston (+108 at LAA)
- MLB Series Betting System #11: Road teams wrapping up a series after a game in which they lost and scored 4 or fewer runs (553-618 record) have rebounded well. System Matches (PLAY ALL): PITTSBURGH (-109 at MIL), BOSTON (+108 at LAA), WASHINGTON (+128 at SD), NY YANKEES (-218 at CIN)
These MLB trends and systems support plays onither Pittsburgh, Boston, Washington, and the Yankees. For a full list of qualifying games and other betting insights, consult VSiN's MLB odds, betting splits, and trends found here. advises bettors.
- Sports-betting trends show that Max Fried has a strong record against NL Central teams, making the Yankees a potential good bet at -218 against the Reds.
- In the past ten games between Houston and Philadelphia, the point spread has frequently gone under, with the upcoming match no exception at 7.
- The MLB Series System #11 suggests that road teams, such as Pittsburgh, Boston, Washington, and the Yankees, have been successful when wrapping up a series after a game in which they lost and scored four or fewer runs.
- When Houston is a ML underdog, the odds favor an Under bet, as demonstrated by a record of 13-3-2 (+9.70 units). This trend applies to the upcoming Philadelphia-Houston match at 7.
