Predictions for MLB Matches on August 19th, Expert Opinions, Statistical Forecasts
Tuesday, August 19, 2025: Sean Zerillo's MLB Predictions and Projections
Sean Zerillo, a renowned analyst in the Action Network App, has shared his insights for the MLB games scheduled for August 19. Here are some key picks and projections for the day.
In the opening game, Zerillo predicts the Chicago Cubs Moneyline (ML) to be a solid bet, with the Cubs ML priced at -124 (play to -135).
In the clash between the St. Louis Cardinals and Miami Marlins, Zerillo projects a lower total, predicting under 8 runs (-110, play to 7.5 +100). Meanwhile, for the New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals game, he finds the conditions, such as rain and high humidity, making an Over 8.5 run pick compelling, with odds at -115.
For the Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox game, Zerillo projects a higher total, predicting Over 9.5 runs (+100, play to -115). In contrast, for the Cleveland Guardians vs. Arizona Diamondbacks game, he predicts under 9 runs (-102, play to -112).
In terms of pitching matchups, Michael McGreevy of the Cardinals is compared to Cabrera in terms of pitching metrics, with McGreevy showing excellent hard-contact avoidance (3.3% walk rate and 6.3% barrel rate). Cabrera, on the other hand, has a career-high fastball velocity of 96.9 MPH and career-best command metrics.
Meanwhile, Walker Buehler of the Red Sox is struggling with career-worst metrics, posting a 6.22 ERA with 35 walks to 36 strikeouts over his past 12 starts. Jake Irvin, the Nationals starting pitcher, grades out as a replacement-level pitcher, while Eduardo Rodriguez of the Diamondbacks has been unlucky due to a high BABIP (.352) and low strand rate (69.9%).
Zerillo's picks reflect his use of advanced metrics like xERA, xFIP, BABIP, wRC+, bullpen evaluation, and weather forecasts to make projections for the Tuesday slate of MLB games.
Additionally, for the Mets vs. Nationals game, Zerillo highlights the impact of the weather conditions, such as rain and high humidity, on the game's outcome. For the Guardians vs. Diamondbacks game, he factors in defensive strength for the Guardians and pitching matchups to arrive at his pick on the game under 9 runs.
These picks are accompanied by active bet notifications available through the Action Network App.
In the trade deadline bullpen acquisitions front, New York's bullpen is struggling, while Washington's bullpen is considered plain bad. Baltimore's offense is performing better recently, with a wRC+ of 106 over the past month.
The Orioles vs. Red Sox game has the following odds: Spread 1.5-175, Total 9.5-105o / -115u, Moneyline 120 for Orioles and -145 for Red Sox. The Guardians vs. Diamondbacks game has the following odds: Spread -1.5+155, Total 9-105o / -115u, Moneyline -102 for Guardians and -118 for Diamondbacks.
[1] Source: Action Network App [3] Source: Action Network App
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