predictions for Major League Baseball (MLB) on August 12th, featuring top bets and prop picks
News Article: MLB Best Bets for August 12, 2022
Get ready for an exciting day of Major League Baseball (MLB) action on August 12, 2022, as experts have weighed in with their top picks and predictions. Here's a roundup of the day's best bets, including no run first inning (NRFI) bets, team bets, player prop bets, and more.
NRFI Bets
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers (-180 at DraftKings)
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics (+122 at FanDuel)
These bets are solid choices to start the game without runs scored in the first inning [1][2].
Team Bets
- Seattle Mariners (-172) at Baltimore Orioles, with a total of 9 runs
Analysis points to pitching splits favoring a Mariners win based on George Kirby's stronger home performance versus his road struggles [2].
Player Prop Bets (Home Runs)
- Eugenio Suarez (Mariners) at +340 odds to hit a home run against Dean Kremer
- Wyatt Langford (Rangers) at +560 to homer, facing Anthony DeSclafani who has a high HR/9 rate since 2022
Grant Neiffer, MLB's dinger guru, has his top home run prop for Tuesday on Pete Alonso, with fair odds closer to +300, making this an excellent +EV wager [3]. Alex Hinton also has a top player prop for Josh Naylor, who has been in great form recently, with four home runs across his past 10 games [4].
Braves vs. Mets Prediction and Player Bets
- Mets favored on moneyline despite losing streak (-130)
- Recommended bet: Mets first five innings moneyline (-128 at FanDuel)
- Player prop: Brandon Nimmo to have over 0.5 RBI (+190 at DraftKings)
Phillies vs. Reds Game Prediction
- Pick supports Philadelphia Phillies, backed by strong pitching performance from Ranger Suárez who has excellent metrics and past success against Cincinnati
Weather and Other Factors
- The weather in Queens is expected to be good for hitting, with a 17.4% increase in home runs compared to a weather-neutral day
- Some of the Action App's favorite expert picks for the Pirates-Brewers matchup are available on the app
- Three of Tuesday's games fit into the Silent Sharp Unders system, a Bet Labs system, targeting regular-season MLB games where both teams are performing well, yet the total has quietly dropped from open to close: Yankees-Twins, Giants-Padres, and Blue Jays-Cubs
- The Cubs are Sean Zerillo's top projected edge for Tuesday
- Blue Jays starter Jose Berrios is on pace for some career-worst numbers
- Paul Skenes is starting for the Pirates in Tuesday's matchup against the Brewers
- Naylor has homered in three of his past five games and has a history of success against Kremer
- Kremer can be roughed up against left-handed batters
Sean Zerillo, another MLB betting guru, also has a top moneyline pick for Tuesday's games. With 15 games on the MLB slate, there are plenty of opportunities for bettors to cash in on these expert picks. Happy betting!
[1] [Source 1] [2] [Source 2] [3] [Source 3] [4] [Source 4]
Today, in the MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Athletics, Wyatt Langford from the Rangers has a favorable chance to hit a home run, given Anthony DeSclafani's high HR/9 rate since 2022 [3]. On the other hand, Eugenio Suarez from the Mariners might possibly hit a homer against Dean Kremer, considering his strong home performance and Kremer's susceptibility against left-handed batters [2].