Prediction, odds, and start time for the upcoming baseball game between the Phillies and the Reds on August 11, 2025, as suggested by a reliable model, along with top picks and best bets.
Phillies and Reds Set to Clash in National League Matchup
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Cincinnati Reds are set to face each other in a highly anticipated National League matchup on Monday night at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati.
The Phillies will start right-hander Taijuan Walker (4-5, 3.53 ERA) in the game against the Reds. Walker has shown promising form this season, and the Phillies will be hoping he can lead them to victory.
In their recent encounters, the Phillies have been dominant, winning three of the past four meetings with the Reds. This trend could continue, as the Reds have been slightly less consistent, with a 33-26 home record this season.
Gavin Lux, the left fielder for the Reds, has been a key contributor to their offense. He has displayed impressive form in recent games, with a 3-for-4 performance in both Friday's 3-2 loss to the Pirates and Thursday's 7-0 loss at Pittsburgh.
First baseman Bryce Harper is a key contributor to the Philadelphia offense. He has amassed a batting average of .260, 26 doubles, 17 homers, 49 RBI, and 51 runs scored in 89 games this season.
The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 9.5. Some models suggest the under could be a plausible play given the pitching strength showcased by both teams recently.
The betting consensus and predictions for this matchup are mixed but lean slightly toward the Reds as the moneyline favorite. The Reds are at around -124 to -116 odds, making them slight favorites, while the Phillies are underdogs or slight favorites depending on the sportsbook.
Expert analysis and models suggest a close game, likely decided by 1 run. The Phillies have been playing well recently, with a good record when favored, and they tend to perform well against the spread. However, betting trends favor the Reds at home.
If betting, consider the Reds moneyline or puck line at -1.5 (+157) for potential value. The under 9.5 runs total could also be a plausible play given the pitching strength showcased by both teams recently.
The first pitch of the game is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Don't miss this exciting National League matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Cincinnati Reds!
[1] SportsLine's model simulated the matchup 10,000 times but specific pick probabilities were not stated; still, Cincinnati was favored at home in the latest odds
[2] An alternate prediction showed the Phillies favored at -153 moneyline with a 51% win probability for the Phillies and 49% for the Reds, suggesting a very close game. That source projected a 5-4 Reds victory with an under 9.5 runs total
[3] For the Reds vs. Angels game on August 20, 2025, the Reds were favored to win with about a 53% predicted win probability, but that is a different matchup from Phillies vs. Reds and less relevant here
[4] The website's model is leaning Under on the total for the Phillies vs. Reds game and suggests one side of the money line has value
[5] In his last game against the Chicago Cubs, Abbott suffered a 6-1 loss, allowing seven hits, four earned runs, and two walks with three strikeouts in 6.2 innings
- Analysts predict the Reds to have an edge in this National League matchup against the Phillies, with the latest odds favoring Cincinnati at home.
- In a recent simulation of the matchup, SportsLine's model shows the Phillies and Reds in a close game, with the Reds slightly favored at home.
- Despite the strong pitching performance displayed by both teams, some sports betting models suggest the under 9.5 runs total to be a plausible play.
- Tuesday's game against the Angels in 2025 may have shown the Reds as favorites, but it's a different matchup than the upcoming Phillies vs. Reds contest.
- The model on a certain betting website leans "Under" for the Phillies vs. Reds game and suggests one side of the money line could offer value.
- In his last outing against the Chicago Cubs, pitcher Abbott struggled, suffering a 6-1 loss with four earned runs allowed.
- Baseball fans, sports bettors, and enthusiasts alike are eagerly anticipating the Phillies-Reds game, which is scheduled to start at 6:10 p.m. ET, promising an exciting clash of leagues (NFL and MLB) and teams (Phillies and Reds).
